April 29, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Jessa Sizzlin | 3.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Cartel Queen | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Joyride Cash | 4.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Extra Corona | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Game | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rh Ariano Dream | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fastdash These Silks | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honkytonk Truth | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jesswonpum | 20.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Mr Choo Choo Train | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Apolliticalfastlane | 1.60 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ekg One Sweet Wagon | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fanci Guns | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Babe Cartel | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Tailor | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sweet N Sassy Jetta | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Blessher Sweet Heart | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aleza Gv | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aj Taylors Red Train | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Geaux Piloto | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jess Black Perry | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mr Crawfish | 4.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Magic Knight | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mavens Cash | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bjs Sirshoks Alot | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | A June Storm | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jl Eyesa Jess Playin | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hesasorrelmagic | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ms Fast Cash | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carol Lady B | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ojd Miss Lola | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Streak N Jet | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Catch Me One Tee | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hez Blacklisted | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jla Double Down Dash | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | B Tuff Lbh | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Queen On Eagle Cr | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Teco | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | Tf Jess Me | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Jesstice for All | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 1A | 5 | Tf Tres Veses Loca | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cottonpickintrain | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Jj Coronas Star | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fabulous Sunday Ia | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Zsuzannah | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Ddeez Kiss My Dash | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Nashville Hotspot | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shesa Knockoutcartel | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Ah the Reason | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Passporte | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Ajkiss This Corona | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cartel Pete | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tempting Policy | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Tf Classy Lil Jess | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz a Fiery Streak | 4.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | American Hobby | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ks Grand Kiss | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chartreuse Blue | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mollys Leaving You | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ttt Jess Ivan | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess a Stormy Deal | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bux Bux Bux | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jla Miss Dena Lynn | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Delta Dash S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Steam Rollyr | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Quorumm | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 9 | Kr Apollitical Chick | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diane to Be a Hero | 3.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A Political Toast | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hennessy Xo Tlc | 6.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Five Bar Miracles | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Pk Sugar Daddy | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Send Fletcher | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hold On Hez Fast | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Carters Baby Blues | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bad Girl Jess | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polita Chick | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rapid Eyes | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Moonin the Witch | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Five Bar Creek | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anonymous B | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rh Sweet Bikini | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Devilwithablackdress | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Special Crown Cartel | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.