May 1, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 10 | Elusive Freud | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lake Tahoe | 3.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Freer | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Castleberry | 5.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Lookin Good So Far | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Confess | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Glassato | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenth of Gold | 3.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 2 | The Z Man | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Worththemoney | 8.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Chakra | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Storm | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Flashy Biz | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Invaluable | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Big Base | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | My Boss Lady | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lovely Lady Lexi | 10.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Way too Smarte | 12.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fables Love Affair | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Diva de Kela | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Curbs and Cones | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Camaraderie | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cost a Fortune | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Woohoo Jackie Blue | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dare Me | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Canada’s Customs | 2.50 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Slushy | 12.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Friend Mr. Jim | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | All the Diamonds | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Home Run Trick | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bootsie’s Galaxy | 5.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Quarterback Dak | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Most Sandisfactory | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Signofthecross | 2.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Pinson | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | First Line | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Catholic Guilt | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Repasado | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chartreuse | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Insignia | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ari Oakley | 1.80 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Church Service | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Adria | 12.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Proud Foot | 10.00 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Call Krystal | 12.00 | 13.5 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sammies Samurai | 15.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Mo Stylish | 12.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Courtney Fay | 15.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Culebra | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Bootlegging Girl | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Half Scout | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | War Music | 4.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Blow Sum Smoke | 6.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Stormy Sermon | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Deronda | 4.50 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Early Dismissal | 3.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 10 | 10 | My Little Teton | 20.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sober Sunday | 30.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Off Ramp | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Com’ On Sweet Luv | 3.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hartley | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hypersport | 2.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Pinky Toe | 6.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Cupid’s Music | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Shared Future | 3.50 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Misyneedsacocktail | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Caddo River | 2.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Thomas Shelby | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Background | 4.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Santos Dumont | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Silver Prospector | 3.50 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Olliemyboy | 10.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bold Thirst | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | African Warrior | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kilgore | 3.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Obviously Too | 5.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rock City Rocket | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Braska | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Doc Irwin | 4.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Max Bet | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Buddy Reaux | 10.00 | 9.8 | 18-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Geek | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Vision of Elias | 6.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Depart | 20.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tale of Truth | 10.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.