May 6, 2022 Oaklawn Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aidanike | 3.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chasing Shadows | 4.50 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Emerald Princess | 3.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Athenas Song | 5.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Into Classic | 8.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Airborne Gal | 2.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Starrgarita | 15.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Project Thunder | 4.50 | 11.9 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Stainless Steel | 3.00 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Take No Prisoners | 3.50 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Reserve | 4.50 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lookinforexcitemen | 5.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Justin Speight | 8.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Joe Bill | 6.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wesleyan | 12.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Miniconjou | 2.50 | 10.7 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Stripe | 3.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Windcracker | 3.50 | 11.9 | 23-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Swift Tap | 3.50 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Coach Happy | 8.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ridgepointe | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Megatap | 10.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fibrillator | 3.00 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sweetness To | 2.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jeri Dawn | 6.00 | 12.8 | 24-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Twentytwentyredo | 8.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Alleluia Angel | 12.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kenkead | 15.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tallandlong | 4.50 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Dutton | 12.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Milu Rocket | 20.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Spot’s Maine Girl | 30.00 | 16.4 | 31-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Rattrapante | 3.00 | 12.1 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Life of Saturdays | 4.50 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flirtatious Smile | 6.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Olivian | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Briar Thicket | 10.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Very Spicy | 12.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Itsy Bitsy Betty | 2.50 | 14.8 | 28-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Guest in My Heart | 12.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dream Town | 20.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Milliganmikeandme | 30.00 | 18.9 | 36-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Misty Veil | 2.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | W W Fitzy | 3.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bow Bow Girl | 5.00 | 11.4 | 22-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Miss Imperial | 3.50 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pretti Xtreme | 8.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | A Real Jewel | 10.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bobbin Tail | 8.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Mocha Kiss | 4.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Racy Jaycee | 8.00 | 14 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hamazing Lace | 8.00 | 14.2 | 27-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Truly a Rocket | 6.00 | 14.5 | 27-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Derby Day Lassie | 3.00 | 14.6 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sulwe | 5.00 | 15 | 28-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dutch Treat | 10.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Heated Argument | 10.00 | 15.4 | 29-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Choctaw Charlie | 12.00 | 15.5 | 29-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Tapit Right | 15.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spurwink Lane | 15.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dolly Dimple | 12.00 | 16.7 | 32-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big On Broadway | 20.00 | 19.2 | 36-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Stakes) – Natural State Breeders’ S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Summer Shoes | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Too Pretty | 4.50 | 11.8 | 22-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Mary Rose | 2.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Punchy Girl | 8.00 | 12.4 | 23-1 |
| 11 | 11 | My Dams Atitude | 10.00 | 12.5 | 24-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Hot Springs Bling | 12.00 | 13.3 | 25-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unbridled Twister | 12.00 | 13.4 | 25-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Connie K | 5.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Kaboom Baby | 12.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Flatoutandfoxy | 20.00 | 14.7 | 28-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chai Tea | 30.00 | 15.8 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Notary | 3.50 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Caerus | 3.00 | 12.9 | 24-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Kingmeister | 3.50 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lightning Struck | 8.00 | 14.3 | 27-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Calibrate | 5.00 | 14.9 | 28-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Super Constitution | 8.00 | 15.1 | 29-1 |
| 6 | 6 | League of Legends | 8.00 | 15.2 | 29-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What a Country | 10.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Great Faces | 15.00 | 16.6 | 31-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Late Nite Music | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Burrow Down | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Que Pasa Mufasa | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wild Irish | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Outlaw Queen | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Middie | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal Bonus | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Farasino | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chaos Magic | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Rio Lady | 5.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bad Outlook | 12.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.