May 7, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Patriot Mountain | 1.60 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | El Bee Dee | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jessawarrior | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Louisiana Dove | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Easy But Fast | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Louie B Quick | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lolas Lil Ed | 8.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Toast to Blue | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Onemorewildtrain | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Apollo Jet | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Corona Blues | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Spicey One | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Fire N Jess | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Set the Bar | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rouge Eagle | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | San Lorenzo Train | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Open Bar Kash | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mine That Bird | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jrs Shiney Majestic | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Diamondonatrain | 1.80 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mp Fly High | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ajs Maxin Out | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Heza Majestic | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bellas First Rogue | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cartels Smarty Pants | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flyingontheground | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jessa Boss | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | I Fly by You | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Big Daddys Blue Eyes | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Just Pollitical | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Genuine Betrayal | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stanny Boy | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Zoominseperately | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Halftime Sir Prize | 4.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Jess a Shadow | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Konnan Cartel | 3.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Red Texas Patriot | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mda Five Bar Demand | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jessabluesman | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Moonin the Wagon | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rdd Shot Gun Rider | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jj Five Cartel Jr | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Big Jack Perry | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Dash Fortune | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nockin On Wood | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Streakin Jess Cartel | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Baby Georges Train | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tee Gabe | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Geaux Boo | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Tonyas Majestic | 1.80 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tdz Sash Breaker | 3.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ajs Fast Corona | 4.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Okey Jess Shine | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Majestic Tonight | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jm Karens Atm | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freighttrain Rio | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Open the Secret | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | King Air | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Bluebyou | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Santa Fe | 2.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ar Eagle Dynasty | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jrs Hez Majestic | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Essential Biznez | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Herecomes Apolitical | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | South Henry Streak | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Corona Especiall | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Trials)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Top of Da Line | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Lezgo Brandon | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Salty Dog | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Black N Blue | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Ripped Up Guy | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | This Train Flies | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Him Gone | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Rags to Richez | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.