May 7, 2022 Santa Anita Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Quintecents | 0.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Crypto Munny | 0.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sai Con (FR) | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ring General | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Kid Stole a Kiss | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Arrest | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carson’s Legacy | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curly Esa | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Rhythm | 0.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Take Action | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Silent Declaration | 0.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Besame Mucho | 0.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dance to the Music | 0.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lady Aces | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Girly Girl | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Shvere Arbeter | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Smitten by Kitten | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | I’m Corfu | 0.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fenestra | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Special | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crash Corrigan | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Barristan The Bold (GB) | 0.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Luck’s Royal Flush | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Right | 0.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Exultation | 0.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Coastal Jazz | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | See Through It | 0.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tequila Tigre | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warren’s Show Bizz | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Belle My Belle | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ardis | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Curlin to Billions | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Harddiane | 0.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Daddy’sfavoriteson | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Machtenhaironfire | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Stakes) – Senorita S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Island of Love (IRE) | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lucky Girl (IRE) | 0.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Delmona (IRE) | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fuente Ovejuna (GB) | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sterling Crest (IRE) | 0.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Steps | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Take a Leap | 0.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Busy Paynter | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flat Out Joy | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jamminjl | 0.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Righteously | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Time for Ebby | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chollima | 0.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Queen Verrazano | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vivando | 0.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Speedcuber | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Talented Lady | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Adelie (IRE) | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Red Tiara | 0.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Carroll Girl | 0.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ballet Dancing | 0.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Snark | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Albayaader (IRE) | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lookintogeteven | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz a Macho Girl | 0.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Chloe’s Girl | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Virat | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hopper | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Anaheim | 0.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pioneering Papa | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Irish Prophet | 0.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hero Status | 0.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Giants Candy | 0.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hunter John | 0.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magic Man | 0.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Countess Rosina (IRE) | 0.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Champagne Camie | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | She’s Bulletproof | 0.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Half Past Twelve | 0.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gracelund Gray | 0.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sixteen Arches (IRE) | 0.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gem Mine | 0.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Connie Swingle | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Empire Pass | 0.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Sniper Kitten | 0.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Carmelita’s Man | 0.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Constitutionaffair | 0.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Midnight Jostar | 0.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Talker | 0.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Caisson | 0.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dance Some Mo | 0.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Shadow Sphinx | 0.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Coast of Roan | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nerves of Steel | 0.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Luvluv | 0.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Avenue | 0.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Oncoming | 0.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Prince Maior | 0.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.