May 11, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Cartel Shakalaka | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Runaway Web | 2.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Done Deal | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quick Jets | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tinys First Runaway | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Christophers Corona | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tee First Miss | 15.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Perry a Corona | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jrs Egos Sweet Dash | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hezas Sin Tachas | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Dancin With Blue | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ld Cajun Brimmerton | 4.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Heza Hot Tee | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hez Fast | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dog Soldier Swift | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Zacatecano Runaway | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Heavens Miss Megan | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Oh Dat Curl | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eyesa Fast Prize | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valiente Harold | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Kooln Inseprable | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My High Card | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jitter B Zoomin | 15.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flying Scotsman | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uno Ima Train | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | A Delight Jess | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Magic Chick | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Bjs the Toughest Guy | 2.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Blue Loves Cartel | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Im a Daybreak Dash | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Runamay Moshine | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cantkeepagoodgirldwn | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hm Estrella | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jj Coronas King | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tk Struttin High | 1.80 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Fast N Famous | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Czar of Czars | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hezdashn Overthemoon | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | One Fast Alibi | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ferrari Bp | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr One Sweet Song | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Vesta | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | One Soaring Eagle | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Carry On Eagle | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Ur Louisiana | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Wild as You Too | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kk Sandra Patriot | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Louisiana Runaway | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Tac It | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cwfasttrack | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cos Im Game | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bayou Ez | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flawless Streaker | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ms Pistol Perry | 15.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hes a Streakin King | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Perry Saint | 3.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Johnny Race | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Coronas Buzz | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jrs Martini Tee | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tee Cas | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1A | 10 | Jw Come On Comment | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Coronas Coming Back | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Jw Exploding Corona | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mr Secret Lee | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Hezaa Fast Boy | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dianetoseparatefromu | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jessa Fantasy Perry | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Runaway Yall | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Leavingdiamondforyou | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jrs Coronas Toast | 4.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Candy and Coronas | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Lrh Heart of Glass | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lafitte | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jf Sizzlin Feature | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mp Eye Fly | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Moonshine Tee | 4.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Fury N Courage | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Miss Pilotos Train | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Fast Dashin Chloe | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bigtime Adored | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jess Drive Da Train | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Fast Lady McQueen | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Open Eagle | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ho Lotta Emotion | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.