May 11, 2022 Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Buster Bruno | 1.80 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bulls Image | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Porsupuesto | 1.60 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Last Minute Mario | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Toledo Gold | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Lea’s Road | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | The Right Path | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loverboy Lou | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Took a Cab | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Green Mansions | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | The Big Bluff | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cobble Hill | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Agnelli | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Sailor Again | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bizzy Gillespie | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Don’t Recall | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Saponara | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Go Huskies | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Vero Sun | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Master of War | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Koan | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Borsa Vento | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Deckology | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | My Train | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Open Lengths | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tactical Plan | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Diesel | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Nobiz Like Jetbiz | 15.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Icy Cold | 1.60 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Natavalli’s Knight | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Aye | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Merging Traffic | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Downtown Crumlin | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kane | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Idaunte | 12.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Scotch Rock’s | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Current Hope | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lazaretto | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Spectacular Kid | 5.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | I Saw It All | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Halstaat | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Queen Lucky | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | La Regalada | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Our Jessica Joan | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Eight Danzas | 5.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Eighty Eight Keys | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Emma’s Touch | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Dune Jumper | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Makeajoyfulnoise | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Back Channel | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blunt Force | 4.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Live Aid | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Wind | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sizzling Roma | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | What About Tonight | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Tonal Vision | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sugar Streak | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Chelsea Wall | 3.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonchild | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bravo Regina | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Catti La Belle | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Solid Gold Dancer | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | God Still Loves Me | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Derby House | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Flat Out Flying | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Commissioner G | 4.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ruffy | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Bob | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Silver Edge | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Over Sensual | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Alejandro’s Team | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Brett’s World | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Outline | 3.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fastlife | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Paloma Gris | 5.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Conduttore | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Government Girl | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cousin Marie | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Page Eleven | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Simpatia | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Pamalwaysgetseven | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.