May 12, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Five Bar Quick | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Nothin Buta Dash | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deuces Gone Rogue | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Eagle Romance | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Valedictorian | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ms Tees Id | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Carter | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Handling Business | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One Eye Corona | 15.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ttt My Wings | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Streak of Music | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jw Losin Control | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Racing Kane | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jess Louisiana Tee | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mr Desert Streak | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Agoutis Snowplow | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Eton | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sizzlin Grace | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bjx Supernatural | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Im a Good Fridaygirl | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Runnin Tee Cos | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Loto Ticket | 10.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jes Inseperable | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | One Sweet Rogue | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | First Cash Warrior 3 | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Rose Jess | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Glimpse | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Jess Ray Ray | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jess Sayin Adios | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Jealous | 1.80 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silk of Royalty | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rio Rojo Cartel | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Always Ace | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Seisy Jacob | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Tf One Sweet Jess | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Bt Dontakeitaway | 15.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gt N Boos Runaway | 12.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tee Mahtoo | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Greatest of All Time | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jj Carter | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jess Moonin | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Jrs Heza Lucky Tee | 6.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jess Chasin Chicks | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Eyesa Five Bar | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Ttt Mortanna | 2.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Moonin the Witch | 5.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ovation | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | La Bisiesta | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Candys Special Power | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Caliente Coqueta | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cb Pinkmoonin | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Bugs Streakin Dash | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jrs Shining Fantasy | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shanendoah | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Heza Kool Rogue | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Rd Your Personal Jet | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashaway Royal | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Magnolia James | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Jj Jess a Patriot | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Patriot World | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Tacubaya | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | A Double Corona | 2.50 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Hez Jess a Cartel | 8.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sheza Fast Blood | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Da Pool Do | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Del Quinto | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Red Faced Rogue | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Jrs One Sweet Gator | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bayou Kue | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jess Kalies Fortune | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sizzle Me a Skillet | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Load the Wagon Train | 3.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Jjj Valentino | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jj Coronas Forever | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Diamond Bp | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tmf Rogue Cartel | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cl Firstpeach | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mason Hung the Moon | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tdz Heza Got Game | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Tf Eye Opening Jess | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.