May 12, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | At the Lyric | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Princess Solitaire | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixiewish | 3.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Clink Cheers | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flippin | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silentanddiscreet | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rememberoldtymes | 2.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Venenosa | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Delightful Dreamer | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tally Road | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Vermont Holiday | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Shazeen | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | You Thrill Me | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maakwa | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rockcrest | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tragically Quewick | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Celebratory | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Souper Classy | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Appointed | 1.60 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Modus Operandi | 2.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil’s Turn | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Anita Grigio | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tiz My Right | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Machisima | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Onezy’s Dream | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Fleck | 20.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mi Tormenta | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cora | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Royal City Reign | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreaminofpassion | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Let’s Have Fun | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twocankeepasecret | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Optional Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Forest B | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Souper Flashy | 2.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Ghost | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smart Bird | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Thatsitthatsall | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sneaky Rebel | 10.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J M R Gemma | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Shishka | 2.50 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nice Company | 1.20 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flawless Pink | 4.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I Am I Said | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Speedy Fire | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Palio Siena | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming)
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Kerics Beauty | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Henry’s Gamble | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gormley Girl | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allpaidup | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Polar Appeal | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Alpha Mia | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Loaded Question | 12.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Jolene Jolene | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Diamond Crush | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Practical Gizmo | 20.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.