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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Friday, May 20, 2022

May 20, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Hard to Be Humble 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Detroit City 4.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Credit River 4.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Prince Pere 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Never Satisfied 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Fomo 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Kobe Tough 12.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Lantau 15.00 4.5 9-1
12 12 Billingsgate 30.00 5.2 10-1
13 13 Mocephus 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Dathoss 15.00 6.1 12-1
16 16 Black Light 12.00 7.7 15-1
15 15 Our Shot 8.00 8.4 16-1
11 11 Backnthewoods 30.00 8.5 16-1
3 3 Chauffeur 30.00 SCRATCH
2 2 It’s Sizzling Time 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Run Raegan Run 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Utterly Courageous 12.00 1.5 3-1
2 2 Saint Eros Girl 2.50 2.2 4-1
5 5 Foul Balls 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Practically There 15.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Miss Midnight 8.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Swayin to and Fro 20.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Tilted Tiara 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Never Explain 0 0-1
10 10 Never Explain 3.50 1 2-1
9 9 Artistic Endeavor 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 King Vega (GB) 3.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Royne 8.00 2.4 4-1
14 14 Great Idea 12.00 3.4 6-1
8 8 Undercover Kitty 12.00 4 8-1
3 3 Extra Medium 20.00 4.2 8-1
5 5 The Honorable One 10.00 4.3 8-1
1 1 Pharaoh’s Triumph 12.00 4.8 9-1
7 7 Sea Ghost 30.00 5 10-1
13 13 Let Me Finish 50.00 6.8 13-1
12 12 Elusive Knight 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Spitball 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Saint Marco 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Uncle Irish 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Natagar 3.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Heffner 5.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Rustys Gfivefifty 3.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Shady Munni 12.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Majestic Frontier 10.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Affable Monarch 4.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Gallant Gold 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Like What I See 6.00 1 2-1
11 11 Radical Right 12.00 1.3 2-1
2 2 Vulcan 4.50 1.7 3-1
5 5 Love You Much 8.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Coop Tries Harder 4.00 2 4-1
7 7 Comedy Town 4.50 2.2 4-1
9 9 Papal Law 10.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Valued Notion 12.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 W W Springtime 10.00 4.4 8-1
12 12 Charge to Victory 15.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Tommy Shelby 20.00 8.3 16-1
3 3 Nottoway 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Another Woman 1.60 1 2-1
6 6 Tweet Away Robin 6.00 1.6 3-1
5 5 Awfully Foxy 5.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Escape Fund 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 R B’s Star 15.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Bedtimebourbon 20.00 3 6-1
8 8 Anotherworldinside 6.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Shinelikeadiamond 20.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Belladora 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Healing 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 English Tavern 8.00 2.2 4-1
4 4 American d’Oro 12.00 2.3 4-1
14 14 Broker’s Reward 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Ballagh Rocks 8.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 U S Constitution 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Pretty Good Year 15.00 4.9 9-1
7 7 Johng 12.00 5.7 11-1
15 15 Kentucky Pharoah 10.00 5.9 11-1
16 16 B Determined 15.00 6.6 13-1
12 12 I Am That I Am 50.00 6.9 13-1
3 3 Honor the Fleet 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Gentleman Joe 3.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Benandjoe 3.50 SCRATCH
2 2 Mandate 3.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Nathan Detroit 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allaire Dupont Distaff S.) – Allaire Dupont Distaff S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Super Quick 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Into Vanishing 3.50 1.6 3-1
6 6 Frost Point 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Exotic West 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Click to Confirm 20.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Lil Kings Princess 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Hilltop S.) – Hilltop S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Murph 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Vergara 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Diamond Hands 5.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Hail To 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Lady Puchi 8.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Pizza Bianca 0.80 6.5 12-1
5 5 Determined Star 20.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Determined Gold 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Miss Preakness S.) – Miss Preakness S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Happy Soul 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Lady Scarlet 6.00 1.5 3-1
4 4 La Casa d’Oro 8.00 2 4-1
1 1 Verylittlecents 12.00 3 6-1
8 8 Gimmick 10.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Saucy Lady T 8.00 5.7 11-1
2 2 Under the Stars 1.60 SCRATCH
7 7 Sweet Solare 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 11 (The Very One S.) – The Very One S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Princess Kokachin 6.00 1 2-1
10 10 Payntdembluesaway 3.00 1.4 3-1
1 1 Phantom Vision 6.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Honey Pants 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 Can the Queen 12.00 2.8 5-1
12 12 Adelaide Miss 10.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Epic Idea 20.00 4.2 8-1
11 11 Spun Glass 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Whispurring Kitten 12.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Dendrobia 30.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Hey Mamaluke 4.50 SCRATCH
7 7 Door Buster 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 12 (Pimlico Special S.) – Pimlico Special S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Vindictive 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Untreated 3.50 1.5 3-1
4 4 Workin On a Dream 12.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 First Captain 5.00 2.2 4-1
7 7 Excellorator 15.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Capocostello 8.00 3.8 7-1
10 10 Mischief Afoot 12.00 4 8-1
9 9 Treasure Trove 12.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Forewarned 12.00 5.2 10-1
11 11 Mohaafeth 20.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Shooger Ray Too 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 13 (George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.) – George E. Mitchell Black-eyed Susan S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Adare Manor 2.50 1 2-1
9 9 Interstatedaydream 6.00 2 4-1
7 7 Distinctlypossible 6.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Luna Belle 4.50 4.6 9-1
5 5 Beguine 12.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 Favor 8.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Divine Huntress 15.00 7.3 14-1
2 2 Missy Greer 20.00 7.9 15-1
8 8 Candy Light 20.00 8.9 17-1
3 3 Miss Yearwood 20.00 9.8 19-1
13 13 Morning Matcha 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Radio Days 12.00 10.6 20-1
4 4 Midnight Stroll 15.00 13 25-1

RACE NUMBER 14 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Peligroso 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Heaven’s Got Fire 4.50 3 6-1
2 2 That’s Right 12.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Claudee Boy 8.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Victory Anthem 10.00 4 8-1
6 6 Votethemallout 12.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Blame B B 15.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Fully Connected 3.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Bali Dove (FR) 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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