July 1, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Full Screen | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H C Holiday | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blast in the Snow | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Uncle Spider | 12.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | October Frost | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Enchant Me | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Doctor Uptown | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bold Animaux | 4.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cerrado | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mesa Skyline | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Victor | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Perlarana | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ingordwetrust | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Street Legal | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Bay of Rum | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Keep Grinding | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | La Belleza Negra | 6.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Feet | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Danfusi | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Basketball Jones | 1.60 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shamateur | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Fay Dan | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Conquer Him | 12.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Quantum Velocity | 15.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Copinsay | 8.00 | 5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cam Woolley | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Right to Strike | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kosmonavt | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | J M R Best of Turf | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Incendio | 20.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | More Harder | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Summer Shandee | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Thelonious | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Silver Signature | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Cousin Rob | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr. Agro | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Two Year Contract | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Choice Player | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Causes Trouble | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crumlin Experience | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Where’s Ned | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wilkabee Rush | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ngabe | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Omegna | 15.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painting the Moon | 12.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Dominion Day S.) – Dominion Day S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Heart | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Special Forces | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Frosted Over | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Artie’s Storm | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Skywire | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | War Bomber (IRE) | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Talbeyah (IRE) | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Primo Touch | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Avoman | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Tempereya | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Luz de La Luna | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Henry’s Gamble | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Swinging Mandy | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keep It Neat | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Venenosa | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Hallanvaara | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | My Girl Sky | 3.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Giant One | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Spring Mountain | 3.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fifty Three | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Morning Thoughts | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conditional | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | War Court | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Bet N Win | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Milwaukee Bay | 20.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Took a Wrong Turn | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Green Gables | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Cedar Valley | 6.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Rum Raisin | 10.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Theodoropoulos | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Shez a Sealy | 30.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Muskoka Summer | 8.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Moon Pool | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | At the Lyric | 12.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Oheavens | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Courtingcourtney | 10.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flashy Get Even | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reins of Purple | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Skipover | 20.00 | 13.2 | 25-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Keystone Law | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | Big Ginger | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Tara Luna | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.