July 4, 2022 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Great Idea | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightning Rod | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Saint Marco | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Holy Synchronicity | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Power Back | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Violent Rock | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unorthodox | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Icy Minister | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Alittlesliceof Pie | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Colorofacloud | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | She’s a Tripp | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kobe’s Girl | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Satisfied | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Caged Pixie | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Atreyu | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Petit Fils (FR) | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Halite | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pretty Good Year | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Samui Sunset | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Prairie | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Amended | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Albertano | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Xy Time | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Rapid Response | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baptize the Boy | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seanow | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Subject to Change | 4.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Maythehorsebwithu | 4.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Revolutionary Road | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Hollywood Walk | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Luminist | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Circle Home | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Meliponini Bee | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dancing Sophia | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Coffee Bean | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bourbon Gypsy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Fits the Jill | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Bessie Blue | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Five Star Phil | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Red Mesa | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Boondoggle | 4.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | High Print | 6.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Divine Proportion | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Stevethevandriver | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | The Cairo Kid | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Enano Astray | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Drawl | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gigging | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lord Winsalot | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Poser | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Outlier | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bustoff | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Crouchelli | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Windcracker | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Courvoisier | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | King’s Honor (IRE) | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sigiloso | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Nathan Detroit | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Broker’s Reward | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Speightsford | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Closer Look | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | U S Constitution | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Twelveo’clockrock | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ashara | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Made My Wish | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Music Queen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Perfect Move | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heart of Secrets | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bizzy Bizzy | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | At the Gate | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speak Your Mind | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.