July 9, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Superfecta | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cats Leaving You | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Stronghold | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Drama Ali | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tc Jess Sabrina | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ttt Ivan Moonwalker | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mdajessmysecret20 | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pilot Flare | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Jj Kicjess Princess | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Jrs Majestic Baby | 10.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mj Corona Fire | 3.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Half Time Cash | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Nipsey | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tf Im That Secret | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rh Sweet Bikini | 8.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Devilwithablackdress | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Point Blue Mayor | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Im That Corona Girl | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Ttt Maria Maria | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Carry On Eagle | 4.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Catch My Corona | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Simple World | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Korona | 1.80 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Pops Zoomin Toole Sm | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Ra Fast Special | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sheza Train Blaine | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Miss Covid | 5.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Wildly Untamable | 4.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Jes Winnin Cartel | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ttt Jess Ivan | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Bo Train | 2.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ollies Fancy Cartel | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jewel 63 | 4.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Patty Wagon Train | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Chelsea Tlc | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Onemorewildtrain | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | One Dashing Dove | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ttt My Wings | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hez Jess a Five Bar | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Tunnell Vision | 15.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Patriot Fine Corona | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Splishsplash Piloto | 15.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Load the Wagon Train | 6.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Hez Pretty Fast | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Yacht Sea B Train | 3.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Apollo Jet | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rdd Shot Gun Rider | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ho Lotta Emotion | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Streakin Highball | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Fdd Went Fishing | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Five Barr Bunny | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tcb Eye B Famous | 12.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Monaco Tlc | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | One Off | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mollys Leaving You | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nockin On Wood | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Fire Gl | 15.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Reach Thru | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Wagons Ho 509 | 1.80 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ks Eagle Royalty | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | The Heroine | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden) – Maiden
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Won My Heart | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Him Gone | 4.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sumpns Up | 2.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Shes a Fast Tourist | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Seven Magnum | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Vesta | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Zorya | 5.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mda Get Domino | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Zoomin Game | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jl Juanita | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Futurity) – Futurity
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | One Fine V | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Big Daddys Blue Eyes | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jl Apollitical Miss | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Pappacito | 4.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Moonflash Winners | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ojd Shez Gon Rogue | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Hi Tempt Gl | 15.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chimera | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Cielo Crystal | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy One | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.