July 13, 2022 Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Tf Ms Sweet Mallard | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Play Some Blues | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dashaway Royal | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Too Jealous | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ms Piloto Flying | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jj Jess Baby | 1.80 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Carters Chicawa | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tastreakoffire | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Heza Streakin Cash | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dancin With Blue | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jess Ray Ray | 12.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Text Me Texas | 4.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Docs Sfj | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Jet Warrior | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Karlon Charles | 10.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Rogues Fast Sister | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Shiney Things | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | McV Diamond Girl | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Bbimthatgirl | 3.50 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mr Secret Lee | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Entranz | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hookedonsevennseven | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Beyond Da Blue | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | One Eye Angel | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Passme Game | 15.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Lylahs Mist | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Hamilton Tlc | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Candied Cat | 4.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | McV American Girl | 10.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Sweet Lover | 3.50 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fast Lil Streak | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | I Kiss Da Girls | 6.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Curtel | 15.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Real La Jolla | 15.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Buffon Tlc | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Chloes Wildondamoney | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Face of a Rogue | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Louisiana Sass | 15.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ib Gone Rogue | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Willies Cartel | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gypsy Rogue | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Making a Royal Dash | 12.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jessuwaitnc | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jmg an Unquiet Mind | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ttt Lil Blackstreak | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Avasippingoncoronas | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lookin Caliente | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amazing Blood | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Lota Choochoo | 3.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aj Taylors Red Train | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ddeez Kiss My Dash | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bjs Sirshoks Alot | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ekg One Sweet Wagon | 6.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ima Jettin Patriot | 12.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Brileys Prize Doc | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Julies Lil Rogue | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Flyingontheground | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | One Sweet Queen Bee | 5.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tdz a Fiery Streak | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Essential Biznez | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | She Flys First Class | 10.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Bill Daggett | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jj Five Cartel Jr | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Tc Saulitos Toy | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Perrys Signature | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mp Fly High | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Perry Mouse Tale | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Tm Dee First Bar | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Lightemupwithcharm | 2.50 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Hez Jess a Cartel | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Dynastys Five Bar | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mp Dancing Star | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Tf One Sweet Jess | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pk Sugar Daddy | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Tf Runaway Kate | 15.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Woman Secrets | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Vf Big Guns | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | King Air | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Jes Raise the Bar | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tdz Tempting Sugar | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Apollitical Sir | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bonbon de Metro B | 15.00 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Mis Cartel Has Risen | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Secrets in the Snow | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dupante Shell Out | 10.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ivans Artica Reign | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.