July 15, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Admonish | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cousin Bob | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawson Silver | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Perfect Play | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Late Surge | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Unspeakable | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Muromec | 2.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Northern Conquest | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grand Gizmo | 3.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Social Justice | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Why Not Bourbon | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Timmins | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Baytown Elvis | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | The Coachman | 4.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Society Express | 12.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Class in Max | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Crystal Crescent | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Devil’s Bit | 2.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cedar Valley | 6.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Chanceworthtaking | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Fire Emoji | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Road Map | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Remembering Rhoda | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Invisible Friend | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Bin | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chairman Fox | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Papa Dobles | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mammoth Spring | 4.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Taradar | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Aoristos | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | J and B in Crumlin | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Where’s Ned | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Bold Diamonds Bff | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Moon Over Montana | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Courtly Manner | 10.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Taos (FR) | 8.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Selfmade | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Redoute’s Light | 2.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Giant Critic | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Soberano (FR) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bourbon Extension | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Crafty Conquest | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Honey Won’t | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Chasing Vinny | 15.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | De Only Solution | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tranquility Base | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Ingordwetrust | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ben Lomond | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Executive Sight | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tomato Bill | 4.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tall Water | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Whiskey Victor | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Giant Teddy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Hit the Point | 20.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Gospel Way | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Reliability | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Green Fleet | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Argentium | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Canadian Pharoah | 12.00 | 5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Hunt Master | 8.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hell Bent | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Il Malocchio | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Ready Hero | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battle of Yorktown | 15.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Small Talk | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ammunition | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Benlion | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sunrise Drive | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Point to the Stars | 6.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Big Brown Brewskii | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hullabaloo | 10.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Adelaide Court | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Righteous Robbie | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.