July 16, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Rum Raisin | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Princessa Polly | 3.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bittersweetbizness | 3.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Keystone Law | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cliff’s Head | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Terrific Lady | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shesaloosecannon | 8.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Free Carrycomb | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | J M R Gemma | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mumblebee | 3.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Ice Floe | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I Am I Said | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Touch of Rouge | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Carla’s Honor | 8.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tapiture Way | 8.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bettabe Swift | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Calle Ocho | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | In My Opinion | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | She’s a Dream | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Into Touring | 3.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Endorphin Rush | 12.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Gizmo’s B F F | 2.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Hit and Run | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sweet Bombolini | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Buttered Toast | 4.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Grey Society | 2.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Grace On the Green | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tickle Her Toe | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ready Candy | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sonet’s Name | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Trilling Song | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Brienne of Tarth | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Little Fire | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tara Luna | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Doppler | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Well Actually | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hell N Wild | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Millennium Force | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Aubrieta | 2.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Owen’s Tour Guide | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Roman d’Oro | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Jilli Marie | 15.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Amalfi Sky | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Trick and Treat | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Fedaline | 3.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Loki’s Lightning | 20.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Diosa Catrina | 20.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Chrome’s Angel | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fearless Angel | 4.00 | 10.7 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Centenary | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Dolce Sopresa | 10.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Happy Valentine | 5.00 | 11.5 | 22-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Zana | 6.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Sharp Aza Rainbow | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Flysofreeashleeb | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Forest Drift | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Dance Rhythms | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cardio Princess (JPN) | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Imagery | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Sparkle Sammy | 3.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Billyjane | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gambling Cat | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marais | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (My Dear S.) – My Dear S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Collecting Flatter | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cahira’s Blessing | 2.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Damaso | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Speedy River | 3.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | State of Mind | 4.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Meet the Soprano | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Swirling Dancer | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Pemberley | 15.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Dixie Morning | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pleasure’s Gold | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Veery | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Veri Unified | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | First Round Pick | 2.50 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Dance With Destiny | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Livin On Luv | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Brew | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ashwicken | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Medaglia Mo | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Frost | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Indy Champagne | 15.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Moet Monet | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Millie Girl | 12.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Egbert J | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.