July 21, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Spring Mountain | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Repeat the Heat | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broadway Sky | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tuff Rags | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dixie Bound | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Star Scholar | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Well Actually | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | She Makes Me Tizzy | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Favorite Channel | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bonniecrest | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Rememberoldtymes | 15.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Meadow | 12.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | T’pring | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Tsunami Sue | 8.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Want to Go Dancing | 3.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Nicole’s Song | 12.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Classic Queen | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dreams and Schemes | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tenpenny Nail | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Rookie Court | 4.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Wanna Play | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fleeka | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Milwaukee Bay | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Skipover | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Cappy | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Vivid Vixen | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Broken Proposal | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Astonish | 12.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Turf and Surf | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Spirit Dance | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Royal Chrome | 20.00 | 10.3 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Intro | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Kimono Kate | 4.50 | 10.6 | 20-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Makes Sense to Me | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesome Street | 10.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Derby Day | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Machisima | 12.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Flat Out Vixen | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Call Her Joey | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Text Me Up | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Glovanna | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cocotara | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Muskoka Lady | 20.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mamita’s Chica | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 1 | 1 | San Nicola Star | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Hard Edge | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ms Vancougar | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Afleet Katherine | 4.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Golden Vision | 2.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Silent Causeway | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hello Friends | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ghaaleb the Great | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Shelly the Rocket | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Is There a Forest | 3.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pesaro | 20.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lady Maeve (IRE) | 2.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ride the Wind | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Gauge | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Stunning Rivers | 12.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Captivating Art | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Silent Ghost | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sassywithattitude | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Infinite Passion | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mia’s Authority | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Dixiewish | 10.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silentanddiscreet | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Theskyisthelimit | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Princess Solitaire | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Lillz Hope | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Honor and Dignity | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Executive Effect | 6.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | P. S. Rising Star | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Baysville | 12.00 | 10.6 | 20-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Dream Now | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.