July 24, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Forester’s Turn | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bay of Rum | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dynamite Karma | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Veloce | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Honey Won’t | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Wenjack | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Emicrack (CHI) | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Keen Samurai | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Eagle Chief | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Full Screen | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wave Baby | 4.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Lobby Bar | 4.50 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Smoke | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Blast in the Snow | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Kiddie Holiday | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Where’s Neal | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Luckman | 20.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Awesomecrest | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Newport Agent | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Justin’s Way | 6.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | The Great Oz | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Just Start Me Up | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Hendrie S.) – Hendrie S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Boardroom | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Artie’s Princess | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Dynasty of Her Own | 15.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | La Libertee | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Amalfi Coast | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Lorena | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hazelbrook | 15.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | 12 | Langstaff Road | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Stronger Together | 4.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Under Surveillance | 30.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Magnificent Mario | 12.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gaston | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dominant Destroyer | 10.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Midnight Arkle | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Got Soul | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Too Much Talk | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Ruler | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Bodacious Biz | 15.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Factotum | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Bohemian Boy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Breaking Alone | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Burning Man | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Shangassah | 3.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Timeskip | 20.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Desolator | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Meyer | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ice Chocolat (BRZ) | 4.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lion Kingdom | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Day Tripper | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Men On The Hill (IRE) | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Ron’s Gizmo | 15.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Rocket Joe Copper | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Prince of Ayrshire | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | One for Chap | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Trejo | 20.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | J’adoro | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | British Artillery | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Awesome Bourbon | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Venti | 3.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Candy Street | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Sunyani | 20.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Curlin’s Ghost | 5.00 | 11.6 | 22-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Enjoythesilent | 10.00 | 12 | 23-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Uncaptured Moment | 15.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Keen Flatter | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Calusa Donnie | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Natural Energy | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Plate Trial S.) – Plate Trial S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | The Minkster | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Duke of Love | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lac Macaza | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin in Da’nile | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Sir for Sure | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Causin’ Mayhem | 2.50 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Hall of Dreams | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Guard of Honour | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bill Needle | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Box N Score | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Haddassah | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Henley’s Joy | 4.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | A Thread of Blue | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Arturo Toscanini (IRE) | 3.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Theregoesjojo | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palazzi | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | English Conqueror | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prideofdistinction | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mambointheforest | 30.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Dun Drum | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Full Extreme | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Mnemba Island | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser) – Woodbine Oaks Presented By Budweiser
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Moira | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Maccool’s Girl | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Pioneer’s Edge | 3.50 | 4 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Souper Flashy | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Curlin Candy | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sister Seagull | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bizymaline | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sahlabiya | 3.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Loaded Vixen | 12.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Swoop to Finish | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Dance Smartly S.) – Dance Smartly S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Munnyfor Ro | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Seasons | 12.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Inthewinnerscircle | 10.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Youens | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wakanaka (IRE) | 2.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Fev Rover (IRE) | 3.50 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lady Speightspeare | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Keyflower (FR) | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mystic Point | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Causes Trouble | 4.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Action Point | 10.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | My Redemption | 3.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Signature | 20.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mr. Agro | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Crazy | 15.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Cousin Rob | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Reload Time | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Chocolate Run | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Ascot Bay | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Where’s Ned | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Painting the Moon | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Ultimate Answer | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.