July 28, 2022 Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Smart and Fast | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Freddyness | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Weigelia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Rascally Rebel | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cavalry Command | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Know | 15.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Great Idea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cosmicality | 4.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Consultant | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 2 | 2 | H R H Jellybean | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tate | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Stimulus Maker | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aliferous | 15.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Never Silenced | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Earley Rose | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Senson | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Twelveo’clockrock | 2.50 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Camelia Rod | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Shinelikeadiamond | 8.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tizita | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Lookin Royal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Met in Miami | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pounding Music | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Girl’s On Fire | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Romantic Comedy | 12.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Foxtrot Seville | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Evangeline Allons | 4.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Torre Branca | 12.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Extra Crunchy | 20.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Musical Cat | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Esperannna | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | M’Lady Thatcher | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ladro Di Fichi | 3.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hoodooland | 1.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tilted Tiara | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Nice Quist | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Divine Fashion | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Believe in Freedom | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Mamba Queen | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Chargina | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Deemed Essential | 5.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Reply | 6.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | La Familia | 15.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sidney Sue | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sassy Babe | 20.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | If Then | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Yira | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Willow Drive | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Sweet Talia | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Magic in Me | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Caribbean (AUS) | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Walk Away Joe | 3.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Stiff | 2.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Fortune’s Fool | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Pit Boss | 12.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Closer Look | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Luminist | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flimsy | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nibbles | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Morethanastorm | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Empire Miss | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Swing | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bourbon Gypsy | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Self Assured | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.