July 29, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Tragically Quewick | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Pugin | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Too Legit | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Whiskey Victor | 15.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Yzerman | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pride and Passion | 2.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pepperoni | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Son of My Father | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Social Justice | 3.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Brutality | 2.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Summer Harry | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Society Express | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Choice Player | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Commish | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Anselmo | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Ivictory | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Terrific Lady | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Skinny Dippin | 2.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dusty’s Chance | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Positive | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | You Thrill Me | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Salada | 3.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Shazeen | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Hit the Point | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stop the Humbug | 3.50 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fifth Season | 10.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Society Joe | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Gendragon | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Cryptic Creed | 12.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Trinity Gold | 2.00 | 7.7 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Muromec | 3.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Grand Gizmo | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Northern Conquest | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Same Again Doc | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mayor of Essa | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mighty Pele | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | All Time Classic | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Painting the Moon | 20.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Black Boganda | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Calusa Donnie | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Keen Flatter | 3.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Gran Spirited | 10.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Confusing | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fast’n Sexy | 20.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sooner Lunar | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Natural Energy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lady Gabrielle | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Dr. Shane | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Doctor Uptown | 8.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hallie’s Hero | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Dani’s Victory | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miriam’s Sky | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | First Spring | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Jegos Fire | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Street Legal | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Allpaidup | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Cora | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Load Abroad | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Baby Driver | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | A. A. Sweet Chilli | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Shishka | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Flawless Pink | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Flat Out Fabulous | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touch of Rouge | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapiture Way | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.