August 7, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Forittable | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chairman Fox | 8.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Born Happy | 2.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Red Zeppelin | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Grand Alliance | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Smart Society | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Supremeaction | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Midnight Ramblin | 6.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Long Pond | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Lobby Bar | 12.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Blue Max | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Newport Agent | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Point to the Stars | 8.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Great Oz | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Big Bad Beast | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Classy Whisper | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uncle Spider | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Poseidon Steel | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Lake Huron S.) – Lake Huron S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Silent Runner | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Light the Lamp | 3.50 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Rush | 3.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bossy Holiday | 6.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chairman Bob | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Joe | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Aim for the Sky | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Speedy Hans | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Happymac | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Circle of Friends | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Checkerboard Floor | 20.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Jimmies Big Day | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Have a Souper Day | 3.50 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Concealed Carry | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Ghoul (BRZ) | 6.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Ghostliner | 4.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Dissectologist | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cape Cod | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | War Safe | 15.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Here Be Dragons | 8.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Uptown Lights | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jack | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Beau Guest | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Step Forward | 4.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Souper Sunshine | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Crimson Comet | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Secret Storm | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Boston Bay | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Posturing | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | One Bay Hemingway | 4.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Mia’s Lil Angel | 12.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Give Me My Money | 6.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Fortune | 10.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Raging Bear | 12.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Half to Reload | 10.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bongino | 15.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Georgian Bay S.) – Georgian Bay S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Breathing Fire | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Forest B | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lois Len | 3.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Pleasure’s Gold | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Morning | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | American Gamble | 10.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Allpaidup | 30.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Indian Music | 50.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Inspector Reload | 12.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Thatsitthatsall | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Danfusi | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Nonno’s Little Boy | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tour of Duty | 8.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Enchant Me | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lord of War | 10.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Elusive Knight | 4.50 | 8.2 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cupid’s Dude | 15.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tapthespeedofsound | 2.50 | 9.3 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | October Frost | 20.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Fast Feet | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Twelfth Moon | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ima Beast | 10.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Dance Rhythms | 2.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mrs. Del | 15.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silent Respect | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Astrological | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Nikolaou | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Giant One | 2.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Sunday | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bet | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Primordial Fear | 20.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Silent Lucidity | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | It Worked | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dixie Bound | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Star Scholar | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trebuchet | 3.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Killary | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Bartica | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Snookered | 50.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fifty Three | 20.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Silent Risk | 20.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Three Mile Limit | 12.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Kodiak Mamba (IRE) | 20.00 | 11.2 | 21-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Quiet Intent | 20.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Settebello | 10.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pink Gelato | 15.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nepomuceno | 6.00 | 13.6 | 26-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Uh Oh It’s Magic | 8.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Belentime | 4.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.