August 10, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | Take Profit | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Grey Giant | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Hurtgen Forest | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | State of Affair | 6.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baltimore Kid (IRE) | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Spring Heeled Jim (IRE) | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Bright Eyed Eagle (IRE) | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Drink the Wind | 1.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Readyseekgo | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Prince of Fenton | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Papi On Ice | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Kobe’s Legacy | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Offutt Cole | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Sharpoon | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | M. C. Double R | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | General Banker | 3.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Makar | 4.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Itsallcomintogetha | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Conman | 4.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Comedy | 6.00 | 8.2 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Soldier | 30.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Boss Jim | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Sorpreso | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Max Foster | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Storm the Empire | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Arctic Arrogance | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Nobilis | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Montauk Daddy | 5.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Prime Factor | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Higher Standard | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kinetic Sky | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sibelius | 3.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 9 | Inflation Adjusted | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Parquetry | 5.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tonal Impact | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Moon Mischief | 20.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | B C Glory Days | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Skylander | 4.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Super Wicked Charm | 20.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Assiduously (GB) | 10.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Writeitontheice | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Be the Boss | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | I Found It | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Watchnthegirlsgoby | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Perfect Silent Cat | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Our Rosie Diamonds | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Pebble Lane | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 1 | 8 | Love My Candy | 3.50 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Maple Leaf Mel | 2.50 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Security Code | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Book and Cancel | 6.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Spinning Colors | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Joey the Fish | 12.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Blanchiment | 12.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Here We Go Again | 15.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | August Bloom | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | La Chance | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 14 | Red Hot Chick | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Im Just Kiddin | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 2 | Cousin Andrew | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Fore Harp | 10.00 | 1.9 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | King Moonracer | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Montatham | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Propensity | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 4 | Starrystarryknight | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Uncle Remi | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Vocalize | 5.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | On Our Way Boyz | 30.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stainless Steel | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 1A | 12 | Charger | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Just Say When | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Tale Of The Cat S.) – Tale Of The Cat S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Isolate | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Repo Rocks | 4.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Awesome Gerry | 3.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Mr Phil | 3.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Southern District | 1.40 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Battle Scars | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Kringle | 8.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Albie | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Breadman | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Golquist | 30.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Front Line Dancer | 3.50 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Timbuktu | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Major Spin | 12.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Frank’s Art | 4.50 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | War Terminator | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blitz to Win | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Sonic Speed | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Great Workout | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Whittington Park | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Vintage Year | 15.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Remote | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cloud Forest | 4.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Most Wanted Man | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Clubbing | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Running Bee | 4.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Tiz a Giant | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Flute Master | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Evan Harlan | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

