August 21, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Housebuilder | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Natural Energy | 3.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | River of Babylon | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Smart Coverage | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Guns n’ Rojas | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Catrin | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Kinetic Stone | 15.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Green Amazon | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sensing Holiday | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Secretaryofthenile | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Curlin Candy | 3.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Cappy | 6.00 | 2 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Medaglia Mo | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Grey Society | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Now Is a Breeze | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Turf and Surf | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Indy Champagne | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Whimsical Dance | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Sweet Briar Too S.) – Sweet Briar Too S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Amalfi Coast | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | La Libertee | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hard Edge | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beyond Mybudget | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Hazelbrook | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Vision | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Gaston | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Thunderer | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Opus North | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stronger Together | 12.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | He’s Got Soul | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mr Nobility | 6.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Guard of Honour | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Colonel Mustard | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Flawless Ruler | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Trizmo | 10.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Create Again | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Lapochka | 8.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Finalist | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seguimi | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Mambointheforest | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Courtly Manner | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Selfmade | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Derzkii | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Bourbon Extension | 20.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Jungle Fighter | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Star Chamber | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Hyperfocus | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Venti | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Kaukokaipuu | 12.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | British Artillery | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Curlin’s Ghost | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Fighting Irish | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Sooner Lunar | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chamber Music | 8.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Baba Voss | 8.00 | 8.2 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sing Dixie | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Hungry Wolf | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Glenholme | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Arnie P | 20.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Magic Tomahawk | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Theregoesjojo | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Tycoon | 20.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Juan Pablo | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Burning Man | 2.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Lion Kingdom | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Frosted Icing | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Canadian Pharoah | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sunrise Drive | 10.00 | 9.5 | 18-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lil Bit Gangsta | 8.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Twisted Path | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (King Edward S.) – King Edward S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Town Cruise | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | March to the Arch | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Filo Di Arianna (BRZ) | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Weyburn | 4.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Haddassah | 12.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Harlan Estate | 10.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Shirl’s Speight | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association) – Canadian S. Presented By The Japan Racing Association
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fev Rover (IRE) | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crystal Cliffs (FR) | 2.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bellagamba (ARG) | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Flirting Bridge (IRE) | 4.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Keyflower (FR) | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Munnyfor Ro | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Angelou | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Barkin | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Queen’s Plate S.) – Queen’s Plate S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Causin’ Mayhem | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Ironstone | 12.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | The Minkster | 10.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Duke of Love | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Rondure | 3.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dancin in Da’nile | 30.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Moira | 2.50 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Hall of Dreams | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sir for Sure | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hunt Master | 30.00 | 10.5 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shamateur | 30.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 11 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Livin On Luv | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | I Have an Idea | 4.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Few Regrets | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Well Actually | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sweet Bombolini | 10.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Frac Tales | 10.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Baby Fade | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Suspicious | 20.00 | 8.7 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | So Breanna | 6.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Techie | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 12 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Henley’s Joy | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Arturo Toscanini (IRE) | 4.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Eskiminzin | 20.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Threefiftyseven | 20.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | English Conqueror | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Money Printer | 3.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Faraway Kitten | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Entry to Heaven | 15.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Keep Grinding | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Day Tripper | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Diffley | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Soup and Sandwich | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 13 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Jimmy Is a Breeze | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Reins of Purple | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Creemore | 3.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Keystone Law | 20.00 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Cliff’s Head | 12.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | P. S. Rising Star | 10.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fragola | 10.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mia’s Authority | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Bittersweetbizness | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 7 | Shez a Sealy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Skipover | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | She’s So Cold | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.