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Saratoga Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, August 25, 2022

August 25, 2022 Saratoga Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Necromancer 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Naked and Famous 3.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Supersonic 2.00 3.3 6-1
1 1 Vinny Two Cents 15.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Monterey Peninsula 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Moon Warrior 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cant Keep Me Down 4.00 1 2-1
10 10 Playlist 3.00 1.1 2-1
6 6 Lady Caraggio (IRE) 3.50 1.8 3-1
11 11 Reflexivity (IRE) 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Rocket City 8.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Dontlookbackatall 6.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Essaouira 6.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Lexi’s Spirit 15.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Hat Check Girl 20.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Elysian Field 20.00 7.4 14-1
14 14 Tell Me When 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Illicit 6.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Bella Michelle 20.00 SCRATCH
16 16 La Vita Sofia 8.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Georgees Spirit 6.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Lemon Bomb 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 5 Royal Spirit 4.00 1 2-1
6 7 St. Joe Louis (GB) 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Icarus 4.50 1.7 3-1
7 8 Merci 3.50 2.4 5-1
5 6 Hard Rye Guy 6.00 3.4 6-1
1A 4 Assiduously (GB) 15.00 5.6 10-1
2 2 Fast Gordon 20.00 6.1 12-1
1 1 Stop the Spread 15.00 6.3 12-1
9 10 Ancient Times 12.00 SCRATCH
11 12 Cryo 1.60 SCRATCH
8 9 Calloway Peak 15.00 SCRATCH
12 13 Must Be Love 4.50 SCRATCH
10 11 Writeitontheice 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Western Ghent 0 0-1
6 6 Royal Mover 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Star Attitude 5.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Western Ghent 6.00 3 6-1
7 7 Ee Yah 2.50 4.8 9-1
5 5 Secret Thunder 4.50 5 9-1
3 3 Warman Road 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr Bob 8.00 7.7 15-1
1 1 Enzo’s World 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dust Devil 3.00 1 2-1
8 8 Locally Owned 3.50 1.6 3-1
2 2 Giocare 4.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Direct Order 5.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 Kumar 5.00 4.5 8-1
3 3 Amount 6.00 4.5 8-1
6 6 Warrior in Chief 20.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Parsimony 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Rocky Sky (IRE) 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Champagne Ivy 12.00 2.6 5-1
2 2 Beside Herself 4.50 3 6-1
7 7 Light Stars (FR) 3.50 4.3 8-1
4 4 Good Measure 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Mia Martina 8.00 5.7 11-1
3 3 Queen Bourbon 6.00 7.4 14-1
6 6 Creative Cairo 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 James Jones 5.00 1 2-1
9 9 Modern Science (IRE) 8.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 Danzigwiththestars 6.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Dripping Gold 10.00 5.5 10-1
13 13 Saranac (FR) 12.00 6.3 12-1
6 6 Snow’s Island 12.00 6.3 12-1
8 8 Impulsiveness 4.00 6.7 13-1
12 12 C Falls 10.00 7.1 13-1
4 4 Daunt 12.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 The Grey Wizard (IRE) 6.00 8.1 15-1
11 11 Carloun (IRE) 15.00 9 17-1
10 10 Dante’s Fire 20.00 9.5 18-1
14 14 Jarreau 10.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Orchestration 3.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tiwanaku 1.40 SCRATCH
2 2 Search for Truth 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Tizzy in the Sky 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Precursory 5.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Liquidity Provider 2.50 3.9 7-1
2 2 Alessia 8.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Dover Dreams 12.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Handbelle 15.00 6.3 12-1
4 4 Lute Player 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Ms. Solveig 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Riskaverse S.) – Riskaverse S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Skims (GB) 4.50 1 2-1
5 5 Canisy 3.50 1.7 3-1
6 6 Customer List (FR) 5.00 1.8 3-1
11 11 Wonka 6.00 2 4-1
4 4 Linda’s Gift 12.00 3 6-1
10 10 A Mo Reay 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Gina Romantica 10.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 Missy Greer 15.00 4.2 8-1
9 9 Faith in Humanity (FR) 10.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Republique 12.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Spirit And Glory (IRE) 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Digital Future 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 After Five 8.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Uncle George 4.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Sandrone 10.00 3.9 7-1
12 12 Napa Spirit (IRE) 12.00 5.3 10-1
10 10 Big Boss Ben 15.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Fomo 12.00 5.6 11-1
1 1 Spettro 6.00 6.7 13-1
8 8 Hezastonecoldfox 20.00 8.5 16-1
4 4 Milano 10.00 9.1 17-1
11 11 Civil Service 15.00 9.3 18-1
3 3 Hudson Overpass 30.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Stainless Steel 4.50 SCRATCH
14 14 Ghostlyprince 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Storm Shooter 2.50 SCRATCH
13 13 Hatch 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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