August 28, 2022 Woodbine Horse Racing Picks.
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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Fredericia | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Storm Gauge | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kerics Beauty | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hallanvaara | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Oheavens | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sweet Shades | 20.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Rum Raisin | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Candy Street | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Half to Reload | 2.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mia’s Lil Angel | 20.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Trejo | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Today | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Favor the Brave | 12.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Investment | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Sunyani | 20.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Don’t Stop Dreamin | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jim’s Hope | 12.00 | 5.6 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | It’s True | 12.00 | 8.8 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | One More Ring | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Algoma S.) – Algoma S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Baksheesh | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Talk to Ya Later | 3.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Absolute Jewel | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Unable | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Chroma | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Checkerboard Floor | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sandy Bay | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Nevaeh’s Dream | 15.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Western Trouble | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elektronic | 2.50 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Souper Success | 6.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Sunspear | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Malibu Secret | 20.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Dixie Giant | 10.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Wood Be Wild | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | City Legend | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Newport Agent | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Galvaston | 2.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Commander Joe | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Souper Rush | 4.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Elgin S.) – Elgin S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Giant Teddy | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Chairman Bob | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Full Screen | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Dissectologist | 3.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Where’s Neal | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Midnight Arkle | 12.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Love the Game | 5.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Big Warden | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Magnificent Mario | 20.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| Full Screen | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Simcoe S.) – Simcoe S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Mo Tourist | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Crimson Comet | 10.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Twin City | 3.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Wickedblackbullet | 12.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | DeSantis | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | One More Brew | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Housebuilder | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Gran Spirited | 4.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Imperial Star | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Quiet Vista | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Cadfael | 20.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 14 | 14 | Give Me My Money | 20.00 | 12.7 | 24-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Mr. Rudy | 20.00 | 13.8 | 26-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Gungi | 20.00 | 14.1 | 27-1 |
| 15 | 15 | Big Ransom | 12.00 | 14.4 | 27-1 |
| 16 | 16 | Forest Buzz | 8.00 | 16 | 30-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Muskoka S.) – Muskoka S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rifling | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Society’s Kat | 4.50 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | I’m a Bourbon Girl | 6.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Katchy Name | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Flat Out Angel | 20.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anam Cara | 3.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sharp Aza Rainbow | 15.00 | 9.1 | 17-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Liam’s Awesome | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Trick and Treat | 10.00 | 10.1 | 19-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Centenary | 10.00 | 11.1 | 21-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Souper Sinclair | 15.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Beyla Be Good | 20.00 | 12 | 23-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Honor It | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gio Maria | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tavaline | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Bessie | 10.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Smiles for David | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dawn Pharoah | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Lucys Child | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Uncle Spider | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Lord of War | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Star Chamber | 2.50 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Unilateral | 20.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Big Bad Beast | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Benlion | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Small Talk | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ahmas | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Awesomecrest | 5.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.