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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 16, 2022

September 16, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Storminside 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Capture the Sea 6.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Rawhide Rawlins 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Project Leader 2.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Vroysky 3.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Around the Dial 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Alleva 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Highly Distorted 6.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Cajun Treasure 3.00 3.1 6-1
1 1 Horn of Plenty 2.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Star Entry 6.00 4.8 9-1
4 4 Full Draw 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 So Softly 4.50 1 2-1
9 9 Vegas Dream 2.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Dreamer Girl 8.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Auntie Bev 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Spun Beautiful 1.80 5.3 10-1
10 10 Fantasy High 20.00 7.5 14-1
5 5 Sweet N Go 30.00 8 15-1
7 7 Round in Circles 20.00 8.2 15-1
6 6 Tequila Sunset 8.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Aunt Opal 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Paul L 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Resilient 1.80 2.9 6-1
1 1 Flying Charlie 6.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Nazare 2.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Equipo A 10.00 4.6 9-1
3 3 Soul Prodigy 3.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Keep Your Coil 1.20 1 2-1
3 3 Royal Blend 8.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Galarina 2.50 2.4 4-1
2 2 Dashing Demi 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 My Spy 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Busy Paynter 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Benson 6.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Malibu Mistress 10.00 4.9 9-1
10 10 Flatterwithjewels 6.00 5.2 10-1
4 4 Family Trips 15.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Loveherheart 8.00 5.6 11-1
6 6 Suezaaana 15.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Irish Wahine 3.50 7.2 14-1
7 7 Secret Maneuver 20.00 8.6 16-1
8 8 Ardtrea 6.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nolongerahobby 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Prodigal Son 2.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Shortman 4.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Dr. Troutman 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Funkenstein 6.00 6 11-1
1 1 Club Cal 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Mr. Fighter 30.00 1 2-1
3 3 Candy’s Wildcat 3.50 3.2 6-1
11 11 Reign of Speed 2.50 3.2 6-1
1 1 Crypto Ride 20.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Druidic 10.00 5.1 10-1
2 2 Geezer 3.50 5.3 10-1
8 8 Chaokoon 8.00 5.6 11-1
4 4 Krixus Flash 12.00 5.9 11-1
10 10 Start Them Up 10.00 6 11-1
9 9 Thirsty Cowboy 20.00 8 15-1
6 6 Buffalo Run 10.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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