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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Friday, September 23, 2022

September 23, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Dadstar 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Papa Primitivo 8.00 3.1 6-1
2 2 Shardial 1.80 3.4 6-1
1 1 Chasing the Vision 5.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Mongolian Moon 4.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Alex’s Dream 10.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Ca Dreamer 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Ana Lisa 3.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Measureofdevotion 15.00 4.5 9-1
2 2 Secret Square 4.50 4.5 9-1
3 3 Soul Sweet 6.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Irish Wahine 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Perfecto Amor 0 0-1
7 7 Liar Liar 5.00 1 2-1
6 6 Being Blessed 6.00 1.5 3-1
10 10 Next Revolt 1.80 2.3 4-1
1 1 Debt Monger 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Vicente’s Shadow 10.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Monologue 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Perfecto Amor 20.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Pedro Perez 15.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Restoring Dreams 15.00 7 13-1
5 5 Reckoning Day 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Disc Jockey 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Little Demon 4.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Dillon Rocks 8.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 High Heater 4.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Zimba Warrior 3.50 5.4 10-1
1 1 Allaboutthemoney 2.50 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Otro Mas 4.50 1 2-1
2 2 He’s a Candy Man 3.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Mischief’s Thirsty 12.00 1.2 2-1
3 3 Jerry Jeff Walker 1.80 1.3 2-1
6 6 Hey Batman 10.00 1.3 2-1
5 5 Chick’s Dig It 3.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Fasttraintotexas 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Larimar 1.60 1 2-1
4 4 Full of Grace 5.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Rain Diva 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Pawnee 8.00 4.2 8-1
3 3 Lady Protonico 6.00 5.5 10-1
1 1 Sugar Kisses 12.00 6.8 13-1
6 6 Wild Arch 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Golf Drama 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 Stay in the Game 3.50 2.4 5-1
7 7 Please Focus 4.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Tom and Jazzy 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 The Last One Perk 20.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cathedral Light 5.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Thirsty Pappy 6.00 7.1 13-1
1 1 My Ransom 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Sugar Sugar 1.40 1 2-1
3 3 Grandiosely 4.00 3 6-1
7 7 Shish Kabob 8.00 3.1 6-1
10 10 Worthiness 10.00 4.1 8-1
9 9 Airkita 5.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Liberty Liberty 30.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Italian Love Song 30.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 My Yvonne 10.00 7.5 14-1
8 8 Chevy Girl 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Alphie’s Angel 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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