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Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 25, 2022

September 25, 2022 Los Alamitos Thoroughbred Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 It’s Saul Right 1.20 1 2-1
1 1 Smokin Amelia 2.50 1.1 2-1
5 5 Isla Jane 8.00 4 8-1
3 3 Paddle On Polly 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Smiling Princess 3.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sunrise Journey 1.60 1 2-1
1 1 Slam Dunk Sermon 2.00 2.3 4-1
3 3 Cajun Brother 2.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Alvaaro 5.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Flying Charlie 20.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Torrid Tommy 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Armaveer 2.50 1.2 2-1
5 5 Carson’s Legacy 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Big Brother 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Fifty Cent Dollars 8.00 4.4 8-1
2 2 Memes 1.40 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Smokem Howard 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Weasley 6.00 2.3 4-1
1 1 Lord of Light 1.60 3.2 6-1
6 6 Macnamara 3.00 3.7 7-1
4 4 Ice Storm 2.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Capacity 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Conch Daddy 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Grazen Sun 5.00 1.5 3-1
3 3 Andros 1.80 2.2 4-1
4 4 Burton Way 4.00 3 6-1
6 6 Krahenbuhl 4.50 3.1 6-1
5 5 Rafikki 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Catemaco 8.00 1 2-1
10 10 Lovesick Blues 2.00 2.5 5-1
11 11 Pyeong Chang 5.00 3 6-1
8 8 Star Racer 15.00 3.4 6-1
9 9 Liberty Forever 3.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Bud Knight 12.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 Alpine Thunder 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Count Tolstoy 30.00 5.9 11-1
7 7 Ray’s Prospect 30.00 7 13-1
5 5 Prayer of Jabez 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Heaven’s Music 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Wishing On a Star 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Katerini 2.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Yadiama 8.00 3 6-1
6 6 American Lily 3.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Rosy Edge 8.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Spooky Lady 1.80 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 King Rob 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Sippin N Kissin 2.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Tiger’s Arrow 3.00 2 4-1
3 3 Chris Fix 3.50 2.2 4-1
1 1 Mourvedre 6.00 5 10-1
5 5 Sierra Pass 20.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Highly Distorted 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Big Cheddar 3.50 2.9 5-1
8 8 Captain N. Barron 2.00 3 6-1
7 7 Sharp Warning 20.00 3.3 6-1
2 2 Equipo A 8.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Street Behavior 20.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Soul Prodigy 12.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Crosskirk 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Capote S.) – Capote S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hard to Figure 0 0-1
4 4 Man Child 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Hard to Figure 1.80 1.6 3-1
1 1 Massimo 1.00 1.9 4-1
5 5 Flame Rider 8.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Top of My Game 8.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Reckoning Day 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Half Right 2.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Smileforme 8.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Black Storm 3.00 2.7 5-1
1 1 El Tigre Terrible 4.50 3.5 7-1
3 3 River Tiber 12.00 3.6 7-1
4 4 Active Account 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Around the Dial 8.00 8 15-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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