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Pimlico Horse Racing Picks for Sunday, September 25, 2022

September 25, 2022 Pimlico Horse Racing Picks.


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Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Foxtrot Seville 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Hot Lookin Royal 15.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Bad Temper 6.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Pounding Music 1.80 2.6 5-1
10 10 Earley Rose 20.00 2.8 5-1
2 2 Backstreet Gal 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 Love My Cat 10.00 3.4 6-1
13 13 Imnotonetocomplain 6.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Missawlet 10.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Yira 20.00 4.5 8-1
5 5 Cuenca 15.00 7.6 14-1
11 11 Redwhiteandtacos 20.00 11.3 21-1
14 14 Sidney Sue 12.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Karen’s Catita 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Golden Effect 5.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Blame the Irish 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mahomes Money 4.50 1 2-1
4 4 High Print 8.00 1.6 3-1
3 3 Ladneedsahandler 8.00 3.5 7-1
9 9 Highland Dream 1.80 3.7 7-1
6 6 Pit Stop Man 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Crownedcountcristo 6.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Fore On Seven 12.00 8.2 15-1
2 2 Point of Grace 12.00 8.6 16-1
7 7 Silent Service 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Hellman 15.00 1 2-1
10 10 God Is Love 4.00 1.2 2-1
1 1 Cosmicality 8.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Summer Silence 12.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Eddie the Great 6.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 General’s Duty 8.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Sorolla 15.00 3.1 6-1
9 9 Trash Talkin Larry 6.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Mose Perfect 12.00 4.9 9-1
8 8 Bomboloni 4.50 6.1 11-1
7 7 Stop the Spread 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Kozy’s Wildcat 8.00 1 2-1
2 2 Jackie A 3.50 2.6 5-1
8 8 Dialing Dixie 15.00 3 6-1
9 9 Free Square 4.50 5.5 10-1
7 7 Ruling Front 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Dream Happy 5.00 7 13-1
4 4 Stone Courageous 6.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Pelota 10.00 8.2 16-1
10 10 Royal Spy 8.00 8.3 16-1
6 6 Risk Vs Reward 10.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Ice Cube Baby 12.00 1 2-1
1 1 La Tache 12.00 2.9 5-1
7 7 Galactic Tide 10.00 3 6-1
8 8 Angelofcanterbury 8.00 3.1 6-1
6 6 Mysisternancy 12.00 3.3 6-1
9 9 Divine Romance 5.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Iron Lotus 10.00 5.2 10-1
5 5 Genieinabridle 4.50 5.3 10-1
10 10 Ride the Rapids 6.00 6.4 12-1
3 3 Ellie Victorina 3.50 7.5 14-1
2 2 Liquidator 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
13 13 Tate 5.00 1 2-1
5 5 Transit 6.00 2.6 5-1
11 11 Kid Bourbon 10.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mentalist 10.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 El Segundo 15.00 4.3 8-1
3 3 Stimulus Maker 5.00 4.7 9-1
9 9 Watchnthegirlsgoby 8.00 4.8 9-1
12 12 On the Engine 3.50 4.9 9-1
1 1 A Lot Like Xmas 8.00 7 13-1
6 6 No Money Down 20.00 10.1 19-1
15 15 Street Lamp 10.00 10.6 20-1
10 10 Dr Rags 20.00 11.5 22-1
14 14 Sam in Style 15.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Blowing Big Smoke 20.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Cairo Boogie 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Icy Minister 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Bernie’s On Fire 3.00 1 2-1
10 10 Royal Thunder 4.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Spitball 10.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tommy Shelby 5.00 2.8 5-1
7 7 The Great Dansky 20.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Hair of the Dog 15.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Excalibur 20.00 6.7 13-1
2 2 Confusion Baby Boy 15.00 7.6 14-1
9 9 Royal Crusader 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Oxide 15.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Subject to Change 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
R B’s Star 0 0-1
7 7 Moonsafe 8.00 1 2-1
6 6 No More Mask 6.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Lady Zeta 8.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 R B’s Star 4.50 4.4 8-1
12 12 Bandits Warrior 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 Summer Odds 6.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Combat Queen 10.00 5.4 10-1
4 4 Green Eyes 15.00 6.1 11-1
9 9 Betcha by Golly 10.00 7.7 14-1
3 3 Twelveo’clockrock 8.00 8.9 17-1
11 11 Buckey’s Charm 20.00 9.3 18-1
1 1 Pray for the U S A 30.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Samui Sunset 4.50 1 2-1
10 10 Bourbon Currency 12.00 1.2 2-1
9 9 Benny Havens 6.00 1.6 3-1
8 8 Bob Marco 6.00 1.8 3-1
5 5 Wish Me Home 6.00 1.9 4-1
4 4 Tom Hagen 6.00 2.2 4-1
6 6 Breakwater 10.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Johng 12.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Saketumi 20.00 5.9 11-1
11 11 Masterofthesenate 20.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 One America 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Barberini 6.00 7.4 14-1
13 13 Assiduously (GB) 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Rustys Gfivefifty 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Awesome Man 6.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Our Lucky Man 2.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Seiche 3.50 2.8 5-1
1 1 Jardani 8.00 2.8 5-1
6 6 Pharaoh’s Triumph 6.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Hachure 15.00 4.1 8-1
8 8 Federal Offense 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Macy’s Boy 15.00 1 2-1
6 6 Concrete Glory 2.50 1.8 3-1
4 4 Loaded Sniper 20.00 3.3 6-1
5 5 Zip Line to Heaven 3.50 4.4 8-1
8 8 Boss Is a Pal 6.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Shelly Island 3.50 5.5 10-1
9 9 Smitten Enough 20.00 7.3 14-1
7 7 E. P. Milton 12.00 8.7 16-1
1 1 Science (IRE) 5.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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