Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Lady Serenity | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Musicmansandy | 2.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Don’t Tell Deren | 3.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miss Fussy Pants | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mo Co Gold | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Golden Neve | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Earley Rose | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Scenic View | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mi Yayis | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Heart Light | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Blame the Irish | 6.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Missawlet | 5.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Yira | 12.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Ghostly Night | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Mamba Queen | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Sensation | 10.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 16 | 16 | Talks in Her Sleep | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Love My Cat | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Ephemeral | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Esperannna | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Gogo Chanel | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Heartburn | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Our Hoisted Mast | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Camp Pendleton | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Spitball | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal Crusader | 6.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Albertano | 3.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Mamaigotthis | 20.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | U S Constitution | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Strong Headed | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Papal Law | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Battalion | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Smile Bryan | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Dancing Til Dusk | 15.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | One Two Kid | 10.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Fermat | 8.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Bomboloni | 6.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Go Poke the Bear | 20.00 | 9.3 | 18-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Resident Liberal | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Toe Curlin’ Kiss | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Welling | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Unconquered Spirit | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Caribbean (AUS) | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Bossyness | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Genieinabridle | 6.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Ellie Victorina | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Meet Me At Sunset | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Mysisternancy | 4.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Imaginetheodds | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Elika | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Munnis Pretty | 20.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Wish Me Home | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Search for Truth | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Wicked Prankster | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Tom Hagen | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Crisper | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rocket One | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | In Effect | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Swing Low | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Aliferous | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Celtic Sea | 20.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Baton | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Jelly Nougat | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Judge Davis | 4.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Seiche | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Our Lucky Man | 4.50 | 2.9 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Magic Mule | 8.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Friendly Fella | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Pharaoh’s Triumph | 10.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Critical Threat | 6.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tenebris | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Self Assured | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foretell | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Fancy Scepter | 12.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Anileate | 3.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lady Mosler | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Amaretto Sour | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Call Me Vivian | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 10 | 10 | The Sweaty Fox | 3.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Brzina | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Roo | 50.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.