Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sonic City | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Move It | 10.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Bayou Beaux | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Autocratic | 12.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Warriors Haven | 4.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Nasty Exaggerator | 6.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gettinhot’nhere | 6.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Oh Snap | 5.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Pay Dirt | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Pat Me Down | 15.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Beyond d’Oro | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kasen’s Sister | 8.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | American Rebel | 20.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Holy War | 12.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Blue Ridge Heat | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Lacis Jewel | 15.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | L G Girl | 3.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Song | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Carlos Loves Tee | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 10 | 10 | Betison | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Aspirational | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Onecallthatsall | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dreamed I Am Fast | 4.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Run Away Samari | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Teche Solution | 15.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Moonlightmaddy | 8.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | R T’s Gem | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Louis Le Grande | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dare to Fail | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Nate’s Revenge | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Mr. Snowflake | 12.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lou’s Arrow | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Ninejuanjuan Call | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Half a Buck | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Captains Cove | 15.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Twirling Chief | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Theo d’Or | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Carlos | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Moro Outlaw | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aaron’s Spirit | 2.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Fancy Paynter | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Halo Moon | 15.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Machine Gun Man | 10.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Marvins’ Warrior | 6.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | The Five B’s | 12.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Soldiers Sacrifice | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | High Value Target | 1.60 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Gifted Talent | 5.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Clocked in Tyme | 20.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Batty | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Crafty Princess | 8.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Anotherinthefire | 4.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Missgreeley’ssong | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Rithm Nic | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mor Victory | 6.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Problem Child | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Swift N Traffic | 12.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bratton | 6.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Accrual | 12.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Sheer Element | 10.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | No White Flags | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Grand Luwegee | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Half Again | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Seau | 4.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Dinar | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Jimi’s a Star | 10.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mageez | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Sniveling | 10.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Easy to Miss | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Speaktomeoflove | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Full of Glory | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Saint Pio | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Midnight Oil | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Castleberry | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Butwaitthere’smore | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Valdina Dreams | 10.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Uncle Brad | 8.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Shoetrick | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Production Time | 20.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Accel Joe | 20.00 | 9.7 | 18-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Royal de Be | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.