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Delaware Park Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, October 27, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Only Child 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 Mercury Ten 2.50 2.2 4-1
6 6 So There 3.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Sette Stelle 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Gandhi’s Orion 6.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Cherrys Cross 8.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Backatya 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silver R 12.00 1.3 3-1
1 1 Turnpike Bob 1.80 1.7 3-1
2 2 Baagy 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Bourbon Over Ice 3.50 2.3 4-1
7 7 My Last Mission 12.00 2.5 5-1
8 8 Karnak 12.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Makoto 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ghost Maiden 8.00 1 2-1
8 8 Lady Jean 6.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Vics Cool Cat 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Heart Full of Soul 3.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Decoupage 5.00 2.6 5-1
5 5 Dancer’s Melody 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 6 Kirby 12.00 6.1 11-1
1A 10 Rather Nosy 3.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Charlotte Webley 10.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Soupster 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Guillaume 2.00 1 2-1
6 6 Golden Juan 8.00 2.1 4-1
7 7 Hanalei’s Houdini 3.00 2.6 5-1
1 2 Practical Coach 4.00 3 6-1
5 5 Highway Bound 8.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Helms Deep 8.00 4.7 9-1
1A 8 Eloquist 4.00 5.7 11-1
2 1 Bustoff 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Half Brother 6.00 1 2-1
3 3 Pop Socks 15.00 2 4-1
10 10 Whiskied Up 10.00 2.4 5-1
9 9 Hop and Scotch 10.00 2.5 5-1
2 2 Hopperness 8.00 2.8 5-1
4 4 Gods Glory 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 6 Silver Phantom 15.00 3.4 6-1
7 7 Cesar 15.00 4.5 9-1
1 1 He’s Aboss 15.00 4.7 9-1
11 11 Estilo Clasico 8.00 4.7 9-1
12 12 Imagoodfella 6.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Elfuegomasbrilante 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Artistic Reason 2.00 1 2-1
2 2 Our Lucky Man 4.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Shofar 3.00 2.8 5-1
5 5 Irish Boolum 6.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 My Danny Boy 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Big Venezuela 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Late Night Larry 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Chief Ron 0 0-1
2 2 Smithwick’s Spice 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Aristocratic 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Where Paradise Lay 3.50 2.3 4-1
3 3 Chief Ron 8.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Powerfully Built 6.00 SCRATCH
4 4 King of Hollywood 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Violet Jessop 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Holding Court 8.00 1.1 2-1
5 5 Crystal Orb 15.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Ms Boombastic 12.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 May Beau 8.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 U Cant Handle This 3.00 6.9 13-1
8 8 Saints Victory 8.00 7.6 14-1
7 7 Challenge Princess 2.00 8.1 15-1
3 3 Expect a Circus 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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