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Belmont At The Big A Horse Racing Picks for Friday, October 28, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Third Moon 15.00 1 2-1
3 2 Outlaw Country 3.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Going in Style 2.50 3.6 7-1
2 1 Winning Connection 4.50 5.3 10-1
6 6 Churro 3.50 5.9 11-1
8 9 Uncle Dan 8.00 7.6 14-1
1 3 Second and Reed 8.00 8.3 16-1
1A 7 Obscured by Clouds 8.00 8.9 17-1
4 4 Brother Showtyme 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Lord Gatling 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Forestwood Lane 5.00 1.2 2-1
3 2 El Mayor 4.50 1.3 2-1
2 1 Dontbelate 12.00 3.3 6-1
7 8 Majestic Tiger 6.00 3.5 7-1
1A 7 Mr. Briggs 3.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Forever Wicked 8.00 5.3 10-1
1 3 Will E Sutton 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Wasp 1.60 1 2-1
5 5 Tizzy in the Sky 0.60 1.7 3-1
3 3 Vienna Code 8.00 3.8 7-1
1 1 Suspended Campaign 10.00 4.5 8-1
4 4 Kerik 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Silvestri (FR) 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Mirth ‘n Merriment 15.00 1.1 2-1
7 7 Bramble Bay 10.00 2 4-1
2 2 Oakhurst 2.50 2.5 5-1
4 4 Lashara (GB) 5.00 2.9 5-1
1 1 Angel Palm (GB) 3.50 3.4 7-1
8 8 Toned Up 15.00 5.2 10-1
6 6 Miss Bonnie T 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Red Butterfly 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 La Goulu 6.00 1.4 3-1
9 9 Good Morning Kiss 10.00 1.4 3-1
8 8 Starts Now 20.00 1.7 3-1
2 2 Midtown Lights 4.50 1.9 4-1
5 5 Bode’s Girl 6.00 2 4-1
12 12 Lakeside Getaway 15.00 2.1 4-1
10 10 Three Girls 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Three Unions 8.00 4.3 8-1
11 11 Never Personal 15.00 7.3 14-1
3 3 Love My Candy 30.00 8.5 16-1
6 6 Maya’s Dream 12.00 9.3 18-1
13 13 Bad Samaritan 4.00 SCRATCH
14 14 Galatrona 8.00 SCRATCH
15 15 Bustin Hot 4.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Forever Amy 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Holiday Jazz 2.00 1 2-1
7 7 Wicked Lady 1.60 2 4-1
4 4 Gagliano 4.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Handle the Truth 5.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Sweet Maeve 15.00 6 11-1
6 6 R Girl Faith 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Keen Dancer 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Blue Paynt 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Vegas Weekend 2.50 3 6-1
1 1 Girl of Tosconova 4.50 3.6 7-1
6 6 Dame Cinco 20.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Jerusalema 10.00 4.4 8-1
5 5 Royal Meghan 3.00 5.3 10-1
3 3 Lucky Peridot 10.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Respect My Candor 6.00 6.8 13-1
2 2 Chloe Rose 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Chelsey Flower S.) – Chelsey Flower S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Smokie Eyes 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Tax Implications (GB) 1.00 1.1 2-1
2 2 Implicated 2.50 2.5 5-1
5 5 Grand Oak (IRE) 10.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Lifelovenlaughter 8.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 The Classy One 10.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Rosie’s Alibi 2.00 SCRATCH
8 8 Binsky 2.50 SCRATCH
9 9 La Vita Sofia 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Three Zero 8.00 1 2-1
1 7 Wico (IRE) 3.50 1 2-1
10 10 Deccan Prince (IRE) 6.00 2.1 4-1
9 9 Seismic Spirit (IRE) 8.00 2.1 4-1
11 11 Practicallymine 30.00 2.2 4-1
5 4 Won an Award 6.00 2.2 4-1
4 3 Rutherford 4.50 2.5 5-1
6 5 Ordinary 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 2 Not a Prayer 30.00 2.7 5-1
8 8 Disturbed 20.00 2.9 5-1
2 1 Montepulciano 12.00 6.8 13-1
7 6 Unknown Agenda 8.00 7.8 15-1
1A 13 Baie Longue 3.50 SCRATCH
13 14 Code Name 3.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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