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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 9, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Customs Bella Ella 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Lot’sa Silver 12.00 1 2-1
8 8 Chatain’s Eagle 5.00 1.4 3-1
5 5 Sloopy Hang On 15.00 2 4-1
3 3 Gold Chain 5.00 2.7 5-1
9 9 Don’t Blink Twice 12.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Tenpins Tempest 20.00 6.5 12-1
2 2 With Grace 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Flying I 3.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Mucho Macho Baby 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Flashing Angelbaby 6.00 1 2-1
2 1 That’s D ‘cat 8.00 1.9 4-1
9 9 Dream Halo 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Always a Catch 8.00 2.4 5-1
1 7 Conative 8.00 2.7 5-1
10 10 Honor My Speed 3.00 3.2 6-1
6 5 Calculate 15.00 3.9 7-1
11 11 Humphrey 5.00 5.7 11-1
3 2 Mr. Unusual 20.00 6.4 12-1
7 6 Southpine Gift 20.00 11.2 21-1
4 3 Outlaw X. 4.00 SCRATCH
1A 12 Tough Company 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Run Carlos 1.80 1 2-1
1 2 Holy Bayou 3.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Half Full 5.00 4.1 8-1
1A 5 Tensas All Ours 3.00 4.2 8-1
5 6 El Deal Me Aces 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 7 A’debris 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Dial Uncle Joey 15.00 6 11-1
3 3 Serrano’s Warrior 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Tapit’s Lady 3.50 1 2-1
8 8 Trinity Hope 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Vancouver Snow 5.00 3.1 6-1
5 5 Mongolian Diamond 8.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Aunt Jana 20.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Last Destiny 6.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Table One 10.00 5.4 10-1
3 3 Baby Maybe 20.00 7.4 14-1
7 7 La Jazz 10.00 7.7 14-1
10 10 Arctic Guitar 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Spheroid 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Tin Delay 4.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Smoky Topaz 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Joeboy 15.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Oak Hill Solution 15.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Texas Gold Rush 10.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 Blazing Charlie 8.00 5.7 11-1
8 8 My Boy Sam 8.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Cyber Gun 20.00 7.1 13-1
10 10 Macho Mark 12.00 7.9 15-1
11 11 Rooster Run 3.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Unherdof 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Kasen’s Sister 12.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Costanarmandaleg 2.50 4.1 8-1
6 6 Kellys the Boss 10.00 4.3 8-1
7 7 For Real Alice 8.00 4.5 8-1
1 1 Suffragette 12.00 4.9 9-1
5 5 Cold Hearted Wench 5.00 5 10-1
9 9 Cyber Sneaker 8.00 5.2 10-1
2 2 Lady Be Gone 6.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 True Red Slew 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Woo Hoo 4.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Camcordia 4.50 3.3 6-1
3 3 My Little Guera 6.00 4.4 8-1
8 8 My Avani 5.00 5.5 10-1
9 9 Thursday Morning 8.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 T J’s Sunshine 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Mave Runner 12.00 6.2 12-1
7 7 Cabo Sunset 15.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Chapel of Dreams 6.00 1 2-1
5 5 Flit N Flot Time 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Proudtown 2.00 3.7 7-1
8 8 Callen Feels Good 4.50 4.2 8-1
2 2 C. F. Congress 8.00 6.2 12-1
4 4 K R Target 15.00 6.4 12-1
7 7 Mischevious Robert 8.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Paynted Lover 3.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 4 Romantic Beast 3.50 1 2-1
1 8 Sucre 1.80 1.6 3-1
1A 9 Wildwood Maggie 1.80 3.3 6-1
7 6 Rose Crown 6.00 4 8-1
2 1 Goodnight Gracie 8.00 4.3 8-1
6 5 Take Me as I Am 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 2 Jennifer’s Arch 8.00 5.9 11-1
8 7 Lucky Linz 5.00 5.9 11-1
4 3 Pretty Production 15.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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