Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Looms Boldly | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Lifetime of Chance | 2.50 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Whiskey and Wine | 5.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bustino Santino | 8.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Disarmed | 4.50 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Destin’s Mission | 10.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | What’s Up Bro | 10.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Helicopter Money | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Pioneer Spirit | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Healing | 4.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Bold Victory | 1.80 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Mandatory | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Wicked Charm | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Convertible Freeze | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 4 | Senbei | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Nova Rags | 2.50 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Amundson | 3.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 1A | 7 | Pirate Rick | 4.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Stage Left | 5.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Flamingo Hawk | 4.50 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 5 | Kadri | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | Win for Gold | 1.40 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 5 | Eminency | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Moonshiningbright | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Cajun Commander | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Moon Hunter | 15.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 8 | Got the Gold | 1.40 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Kingstown | 4.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Waralo | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Arrio | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Al’s Prince | 2.50 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Air Show | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Will E Sutton | 6.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Spectatorless | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Top of the Mint | 3.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Forever Wicked | 5.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | New York Supreme | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Big Bean Christine | 2.50 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Frosty Invasion | 6.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tonight We Love | 10.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Summer Snow | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Chiara | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bourbon Diversion | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carlann | 8.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bizzy Izzy | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Chris and Dave | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Locally Owned | 3.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Outlier | 4.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | No Salt | 6.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Mount Travers | 10.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Lord Gatling | 30.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Royal Tryst | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Amatteroftime | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Rough Sea | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Two Thirty Five | 2.50 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Night Ops | 8.00 | 2.4 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Treasure Trove | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Senior Investment | 6.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Unbridled Bomber | 2.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Gracefully Wild | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Rent Control | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Fuligni | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Treat Street | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Unkoalafied | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Bern Rosey Bern | 4.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Lemon Red | 10.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kay Tee Gal | 30.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Flattering Gal | 20.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Honor Star | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
