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Laurel Park Horse Racing Picks for Saturday, November 12, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Ride the Rapids 2.50 1 2-1
2 2 Ellie Victorina 1.80 1 2-1
6 6 Lady Lancer 6.00 1.1 2-1
8 8 Donna’s Courage 12.00 6.2 12-1
5 5 Gatita Suave 8.00 6.3 12-1
3 3 Bali Hai 15.00 6.6 12-1
1 1 My Third Charm 8.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Sunny Spirit 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Ben Copenhagen 15.00 1 2-1
2 2 Askin for a Baskin 3.00 1.4 3-1
13 13 Shiraz 4.50 3.3 6-1
11 11 He’s a Shooter 10.00 6.2 12-1
14 14 Gone Inzane 15.00 6.8 13-1
1 1 Robey’s Boy 12.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Savoy 8.00 8.4 16-1
9 9 Papal Law 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Valmont 12.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Where You Was 10.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Silardi 3.50 SCRATCH
3 3 Premiere Choice 5.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Boss Is a Pal 8.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Panster 4.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Backatya 1.80 1 2-1
5 5 Kozy’s Wildcat 2.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Royal Spy 10.00 3.7 7-1
1 1 Dream Happy 6.00 4.6 9-1
4 4 Billingsgate 15.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Appraisal 8.00 5.3 10-1
6 6 Rahmer 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Domineer 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Shackleford County 2.50 4 8-1
4 4 Fortes 6.00 4.6 9-1
8 8 Eloquent Lady 12.00 5.9 11-1
2 2 Ms. Malevolence 10.00 6 11-1
1 1 Lightfoot Miss 10.00 7.2 14-1
7 7 Take Me Home 5.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Luckbealadytonight 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
12 12 Galactic Tide 3.50 1 2-1
7 7 Midnight Revenge 5.00 2 4-1
13 13 Controlled Fire 4.00 3.8 7-1
8 8 Dunder Boss 3.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Circuitt 6.00 4.1 8-1
2 2 Waverley 12.00 6.7 13-1
3 3 Grass Cutter 10.00 6.8 13-1
10 10 Ober Dare 12.00 8 15-1
4 4 Sweet Factor 15.00 8 15-1
5 5 Wild Blue Yonder 20.00 10 19-1
11 11 Gherkin 20.00 11.4 22-1
14 14 Fancy Warrior 4.50 SCRATCH
9 9 Beautiful Michelle 20.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Warwick River 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
10 10 Berks 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Fully Connected 6.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Holy Synchronicity 6.00 2.3 4-1
5 5 Gerrys Gem 8.00 8.8 17-1
12 12 Heads Or Tails 10.00 9.5 18-1
6 6 Sponsored 8.00 10 19-1
2 2 Shelly Island 12.00 SCRATCH
13 13 Prince Pere 4.50 SCRATCH
11 11 E. P. Milton 15.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Bomboloni 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Marathoner 15.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Whiteknuckleflyer 4.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Science (IRE) 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Smart Halo S.) – Smart Halo S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Twice as Sweet 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Bound by Destiny 3.00 2 4-1
6 6 Diamondsifyoudo 4.50 3 6-1
3 3 Miss Georgie 10.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Dissolute 3.50 3.9 7-1
7 7 Shiny Slam 20.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Gormley’s Gabriela 15.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Chickieness 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (James F. Lewis Iii S.) – James F. Lewis Iii S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Heldish 2.50 1 2-1
7 7 Honeyquist 6.00 2 4-1
5 5 Riccio 3.50 4.2 8-1
6 6 Recruiter 1.20 4.5 8-1
3 3 Tiz No Clown 20.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Coffeewithchris 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Where Is Mike 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Thirty Eight Go Go S.) – Thirty Eight Go Go S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Hybrid Eclipse 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Malibu Beauty 2.50 2.5 5-1
3 3 Berate 4.50 3.4 6-1
2 2 Breviary 12.00 3.7 7-1
5 5 Champagne Toast 15.00 5.4 10-1
7 7 Baby Man 5.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Click to Confirm 12.00 5.9 11-1
4 4 Beguine 5.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Likely Choice 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Fortunata Italia 6.00 2.9 6-1
13 13 Rosy Apple 6.00 5.2 10-1
8 8 Imagine Victory 12.00 6 11-1
7 7 Miss Casey 4.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 La Familia 5.00 8.7 16-1
4 4 Icy Reply 8.00 9.5 18-1
12 12 Always Mia 3.00 10.2 19-1
14 14 Salamina 20.00 12.2 23-1
5 5 Miss Is Zippy 20.00 SCRATCH
15 15 La Dame 15.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Sassy Babe 12.00 SCRATCH
16 16 Tak E Lady 12.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Sweet Talia 5.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Little Bit of That 2.50 SCRATCH
10 10 Imnotonetocomplain 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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