Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Justifiable Belle | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 13 | 13 | Thegirlfromireland | 8.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Self Confident | 6.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Hay Stack | 4.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Telendos | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Quarrel | 4.50 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Tangential | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Volatility | 15.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Stormy Lass | 20.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Senora Loca | 20.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Embrace Me | 30.00 | 7.5 | 14-1 | |
| 14 | 14 | Gifted | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Combination | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | River Oaks | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 16 | 16 | My Betsy | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 12 | 12 | Kosuke | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Central Speed | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Slow Down Summer | 2.50 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Graceful Rose | 12.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Splashy | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bossy Becky | 6.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Good Morning Kiss | 6.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Queens Masterpiece | 10.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Cause I’m Elegant | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Jerry the Nipper | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Analyze It | 2.50 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Space Launch | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It Can Be Done | 5.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Call Me Harry | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Kinenos | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ocean Atlantique | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Two Thirty Five | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Endowed | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Blake B. | 12.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Be the Boss | 1.80 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Millean | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Country | 6.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Blu Grotto | 3.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Big Venezuela | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 7 | Chess Spectacular | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Paros | 20.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 3 | Equal Protection | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 1A | 4 | Index Fund | 1.60 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 5 | Litigate | 2.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 5 | 6 | Clubhouse | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 9 | Slip Mahoney | 3.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Golden Bird Forest | 50.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Danube | 30.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Dripping Gold | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Exult | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Constitutionlawyer | 3.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Dante’s Fire | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Chulainn | 6.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Danzigwiththestars | 4.50 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Curbstone | 15.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Quiet Out East | 20.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bold Licorice | 50.00 | 11.3 | 21-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Hail to Thee | 15.00 | 11.7 | 22-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | I Am the Law | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 6 | Good Medicine | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 13 | 13 | Curlin’s Wisdom | 1.20 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Gio Ponti S.) – Gio Ponti S.
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Dakota Gold | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Wicked Fast | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Churchtown | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Sonata | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Riot House | 15.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Wow Whata Summer | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Steady On | 2.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Ohtwoohthreefive | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Marinara Sauced | 30.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Be Better | 1.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Salute to America | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Swift Tap | 6.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Cash in a Flash | 8.00 | 2 | 4-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mister Candy Ride | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Breadman | 10.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Emperor’s Cause | 4.50 | 3.4 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Abundant Honor | 3.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Fenway | 20.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Prince of Joy | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Jet Speed | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | 13 | Dufresne | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Tis a Pity | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | Patria | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 8 | Masterof the Tunes | 4.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Lady of Thoroton | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Smokin’ Hot Kitty | 6.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 | |
| 1 | 9 | Proper Grammar | 50.00 | 8.7 | 17-1 | |
| 8 | 7 | Bustin Bullet | 8.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Shigeko | 6.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Serenade Soldier | 20.00 | 12.2 | 23-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Sedona Rocks | 30.00 | 13 | 25-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Salsa a Parte | 12.00 | 13.1 | 25-1 | |
| 15 | 15 | Lucky Latkes | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 16 | Exfiltration | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 14 | 14 | Lisa’s Vision | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 1 | Sweet Maeve | 50.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Maggie | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Maddie’s Grace | 6.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Super Slide | 5.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Maggie T | 10.00 | 8.5 | 16-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Irish Empress | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ma Mi Jo Dreams | 8.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Silver Eagle | 8.00 | 9.2 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | K D Kakes | 5.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sonja Knips | 4.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 7 | 7 | In Good Trouble | 10.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Dashing Della | 15.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.