Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Valid Break | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | A P Humor | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Roadside Girl | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | It’s Time Baby | 4.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsy Jackpot | 2.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Amelies Dreamer | 15.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Polo’s Tribute | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Cajun | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Half Page | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Myfriendsawinner | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Storm Breach | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Simple Sunday | 3.50 | 4.3 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Crider Chase | 8.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Caliente Lady | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | True Red Slew | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 6 | New Destiny | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 3 | Suzy Doll’s Ready | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 1 | Louisiana Cowgirl | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 5 | Midnight Faith | 1.80 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 2 | Cool Hot Chic | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 4 | Vodka Sunrise | 4.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 7 | Moonlightmaddy | 10.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 |
| 7 | 8 | Alpine Mist | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Micajah | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Muffin Nuts | 2.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Freedomfi | 4.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tensas Toddy | 5.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Johnnysjourney | 5.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Shanghai Ronnie | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Mind On My Money | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Castleberry | 12.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Chalice | 3.50 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Royal de Be | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Joey’s Lightening | 3.00 | 2.9 | 6-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Pac the Pulpit | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Flat Out Fabio | 5.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Uncle Brad | 15.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom Dancer | 20.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Elijah’s Move | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Honorablestatement | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | Philly Wins | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Velvet Night | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Our Little Girl | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Zeatrical | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 5 | L G Girl | 4.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Emmas Ruler | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 6 | Beyond d’Oro | 10.00 | 6.6 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Batty | 12.00 | 7.6 | 14-1 | |
| 5 | 4 | Czar’s Ballerina | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Corot | 2.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | King of the Court | 3.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Wonder Run | 12.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I’m Looking Up | 12.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | King Deuce | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mr. Priority | 5.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | G Don’t Know | 10.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Set Hut | 15.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Guilty Again | 12.00 | 8.1 | 15-1 | |
| 12 | 12 | Curtin’s Up | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 11 | 11 | Such | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Papa Bro | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Aaron’s Spirit | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Four O Six Creed | 2.50 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Free From Guilt | 4.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mor Victory | 8.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tiz the Big One | 8.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sheer Element | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | I See Clearly Now | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My My Limit | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Corrente de Ouro | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Shoetrick | 4.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Shankinstine | 3.50 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Tequila Revolution | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Wheels Turning | 6.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Time to Move | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Accel Joe | 12.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Smarty Ridge | 15.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Kissmeister | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Bella’s Gatsby | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.