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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, November 30, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 You Have No Idea 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Cozzolani 4.50 1.9 4-1
1 1 Custom Candy 6.00 2.1 4-1
4 4 Early Dawn 3.00 2.1 4-1
2 2 Dreamed I Am Fast 10.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Creek Rain 8.00 4.5 9-1
5 5 Scat Logic 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Hightail Cowboy 1.80 1 2-1
1 1 G Victory 3.50 3.8 7-1
2 2 Nate’s Revenge 10.00 3.8 7-1
4 4 Screenplay 5.00 3.8 7-1
6 6 Taylor’s Sense 15.00 4.1 8-1
5 5 Smoking Gun 4.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Crimson Storm 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Settle On Somethin 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Dial Uncle Joey 3.50 1.4 3-1
3 3 The Fact Is 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Custom Crescent 4.50 3.5 7-1
8 8 Flash N Class 6.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 War Saber 6.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 K R Power Storm 12.00 7.6 14-1
4 4 Knight of Honor 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Math Man 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Callen Feels Good 8.00 3.3 6-1
8 8 Golden Quality 2.50 4.1 8-1
5 5 Nugget of Grace 3.50 4.1 8-1
2 2 One Hitter 4.50 4.9 9-1
7 7 Hesacalendarboy 8.00 6.1 12-1
6 6 Country Cut 10.00 6.5 12-1
4 4 Valiant Defender 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 8 Baseball Lover 2.00 1 2-1
9 10 Half Ours N Stormy 5.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Lion Heart Legend 10.00 3.8 7-1
8 9 Diablo Cat 8.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tool Box 6.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 My Amigo Charlie 10.00 5.5 10-1
1A 6 Sharp Charlie 3.50 5.8 11-1
5 5 Gotmy Mo Jo Workin 20.00 7.4 14-1
6 7 Too Much Bourbon 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Reece’s Priority 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cpriority 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 It’s a Bird 8.00 3.1 6-1
4 4 Jeffrow 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 Too Much Crown 2.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Justa Buster 12.00 5.8 11-1
3 3 Big Results 6.00 6.7 13-1
7 7 Target Practice 4.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Carlos Loves Tee 2.00 1 2-1
4 4 Georgia Dawn 3.50 3.3 6-1
6 7 Kind Ways 4.00 3.5 7-1
1A 5 Charged Temp 2.00 4 8-1
2 1 Lacis Jewel 10.00 4.1 8-1
5 6 Savvy Shipman 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Finnleys Encore 12.00 6.1 12-1
7 8 Royal Bonus 6.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 2 Stephen’s Answer 6.00 1 2-1
3 1 Double Barrel Man 1.60 1.3 2-1
2 3 Bibleman 3.50 3.1 6-1
6 8 Lovethatcause 3.00 3.9 7-1
1A 7 Hulen 6.00 4 7-1
4 5 Gentrified 8.00 4.6 9-1
5 6 Bajan Cash 8.00 5.4 10-1
2B 4 Special Pryce 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Custom Maiden 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Chrome Savage 1.80 1.2 2-1
1 1 Glory to Me 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Mschitchattour 6.00 2.5 5-1
7 7 Gifted Talent 10.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Missgreeley’ssong 12.00 6.9 13-1
5 5 Venus Island 8.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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