Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Guinessey | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tashkent | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Coach Adams | 3.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Vangilder | 3.50 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mithqaal | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Fredonian | 2.50 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Sherrys Baby | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Valley Verde | 5.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Cali | 0.60 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Den’s Rose | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | I Guess Not | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Rosita La Carinosa | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | My Secretariat | 30.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | For Fun | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lovey Dovey | 5.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Miss Allie Grace | 8.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | She Hit a Homer | 2.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Downondixiebeach | 12.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Joka | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mighty Happy | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Waverunner | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Heza Wild Ride | 2.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hemp Hemp Hurray | 5.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Chocolateicecream | 8.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Limbo’s Promise | 10.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | My Bobby McGee | 6.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Varnished | 8.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Got Mojo | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Elusive War | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Crazy Lover | 6.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Banjo Bear | 12.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lucky Kingbird | 15.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Kyembea | 10.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Euro Suprise | 8.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Gospel Dandy | 20.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | He’s a Bomb | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 3 | Miranden | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | God Help Us | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Seize the Treasure | 5.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Bluegrass Breeze | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Candy Baron | 30.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Froggy | 15.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Tap the Brakes | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Smart Battle | 2.50 | 6.1 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Chicago Chrome | 6.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mucho Bling | 20.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Spark (PER) | 8.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Euro Tracking | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Joe Bill | 5.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sword of Gold | 4.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 4 | 4 | St Patricks Sword | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Gospel Truth | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 10 | 10 | True Dominus | 10.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Seems Right | 6.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Big Northern River | 10.00 | 9.6 | 18-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Easy Sam | 50.00 | 10.2 | 19-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Searing | 15.00 | 10.8 | 20-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Warrior’s Star | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Chrome Baby | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Eastside Cool | 3.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Absaroka | 8.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Mesa Moon | 15.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Cause to Cruise | 4.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Shadowless | 6.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Kokokomo | 10.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 9 | 9 | U S Navy Cross | 3.50 | 7.5 | 14-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Beckett’s Luckyday | 8.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | 11 | Constitution Lady | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Take Me Serious | 12.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Tiffany Twist | 4.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Peek Factor | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Dixieland Candy | 20.00 | 4.3 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Super Wonder Girl | 3.50 | 5.2 | 10-1 |
| 13 | 13 | Reliant | 15.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Da Prairie Girl | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Smiles Galore | 8.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 12 | 12 | Including Ellie | 15.00 | 8.3 | 16-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Tootie | 20.00 | 9.9 | 19-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Jade Empire | 20.00 | 12.6 | 24-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Tacha Gold | 15.00 | 13 | 25-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.