Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Its Over | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Stimulus Maker | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Aristocat | 12.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Notion to Tapit | 3.50 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Garitoff | 20.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bettheover | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cairo Boogie | 12.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Ichigo | 30.00 | 8.4 | 16-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Oro Gris | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Freddyness | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Read the Spec | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Smart and Fast | 6.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Great Days Ahead | 5.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Johnnyfrenchfri | 1.80 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Small But Feisty | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Appalachianheights | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Viking Queen | 3.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gold Time Vixen | 3.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Lightfoot Miss | 12.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Beatubyachubinose | 3.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Map Em Up | 20.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Thea’s Theme | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Sheknowsthedrill | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Smile Bryan | 1.80 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Our Hoisted Mast | 6.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jettin Out | 8.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Boondoggle | 3.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Confusion Baby Boy | 6.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Excalibur | 20.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Shoulda Had It | 12.00 | 7.7 | 15-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Tom Terrific | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 10 | Bossyness | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Ellie Victorina | 3.00 | 2.1 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Me Darlin Kathleen | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Blaze On | 15.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lil Spinner | 10.00 | 6.1 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Buttermilk Girlz | 30.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Love Notion | 8.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Breezy Leigh | 12.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | La Tache | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Donna’s Courage | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Red Queen | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Chica Rabiosa | 12.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Golden Effect | 6.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Esperannna | 6.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Sweet Talia | 6.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Imagine Victory | 20.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Abidale | 3.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Notion Interruptus | 15.00 | 7.1 | 13-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Hot Lookin Royal | 5.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Lunar Ice | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Coffee Bean | 10.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Victorian Riviera | 1.80 | 1.5 | 3-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Lady Mosler | 2.00 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 1A | 9 | Isabella’s Glory | 2.00 | 3.4 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Kerford’s Commish | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Toussaud’s Ransom | 20.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | The Harpster | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 3 | 2 | No More Fire | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Breviary | 1.20 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | My Boss Lady | 4.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Unrequited Love | 2.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Canadian Ginger | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Towering Gaze | 15.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Italian Dressing | 8.00 | 6 | 11-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | On the Engine | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Only Child | 8.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Saint Marco | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Cash Kid | 6.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Manklin Creek | 6.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Runner | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 4 | 4 | Blameitonthefun | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Neverfold | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 | |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.