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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Roaring Quinn 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Judge This Trip 12.00 1 2-1
7 7 Moody Rafaela 3.50 1.4 3-1
5 5 Custom Guitar 2.50 2.5 5-1
6 6 In for a Penny 6.00 2.9 5-1
2 2 Satisfy U 6.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Charlie Sky 6.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Absolutely Mindy 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 3 Apriority Lady 6.00 1 2-1
1A 8 High Value Target 4.00 1.9 4-1
8 9 Mo Bella 3.00 3.1 6-1
3 2 Sassy Sue’s Band 4.50 4.1 8-1
1 4 Anotherinthefire 4.00 4.3 8-1
6 6 El Caliente Lady 12.00 4.8 9-1
2 1 Takenforgranted 8.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 La Smoochie 5.00 8.8 17-1
9 10 Who Dat Grey 12.00 9.6 18-1
7 7 Thinking of Her 12.00 10 19-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Little Puck 2.00 1 2-1
5 5 Willie the Man 4.50 1.4 3-1
2 2 Etbauer’s Secret 5.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Iron N Steel 3.50 3.1 6-1
1 1 Classic Red Racer 6.00 3.9 7-1
3 3 Boss Man Zong 10.00 5.7 11-1
7 7 Calculated 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 4 Hot Stove League 2.50 1 2-1
7 8 Guitarzan 10.00 1.9 4-1
2 1 Always a Catch 4.50 3.5 7-1
6 7 Tough Company 5.00 5.5 10-1
3 2 Witt’s Taquito 15.00 5.8 11-1
4 3 Mias Moonbeam 3.50 6.5 12-1
1A 5 Dreams of Valor 2.50 7.7 15-1
5 6 Outlaw X. 6.00 8.3 16-1
8 9 Diside 8.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Hot Artie 0 0-1
2 2 Gettinhot’nhere 3.50 1 2-1
3 3 The Feature 4.50 2.1 4-1
8 8 Fluffpoint 10.00 2.7 5-1
4 4 My Man Louie 3.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 Move It 5.00 4.8 9-1
5 5 Cajun Up 8.00 6.9 13-1
6 6 Boating Party 8.00 6.9 13-1
9 9 Kensley’s Hippie 15.00 8.5 16-1
1 1 Hot Artie 12.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Hamazing Lace 3.00 1 2-1
4 4 Shelley’s Money 4.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Fabs 1.80 3.4 6-1
5 5 Missheartbreaker 8.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Mom’s Prayer 6.00 5.4 10-1
1 1 Lovelyredstilettos 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Lucky Promise 2.00 1 2-1
8 8 Full Power 10.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Bayou Beaux 5.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Wyman 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Warriors Haven 6.00 4 7-1
3 3 Sporty Flyer 3.00 4.1 8-1
6 6 My Little Junior 8.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Feller 12.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Olivian 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Vallejo 4.50 1.6 3-1
5 5 Bluebird Sing 2.50 2 4-1
6 6 Mysterious Star 8.00 3.9 7-1
4 4 Gracesspecialtouch 6.00 4 8-1
2 2 Mydealoftheday 6.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Pink Higgins 4.00 1 2-1
7 7 Quiet as Midnight 3.50 1.5 3-1
3 3 Top Honors 2.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Nerky Rose 6.00 2 4-1
2 2 Red October 5.00 4.6 9-1
6 6 Call Me Firey 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Donovans Warrior 12.00 7 13-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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