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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 7, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Red Revolution 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Thrills and Chills 1.60 1.5 3-1
7 7 Fire’s Finale 15.00 3 6-1
6 6 Margin of Air 8.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 Mega Charlie 4.00 3.3 6-1
3 3 Jonny Quist 10.00 4.6 9-1
1 1 Predominate 6.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Frosted Wild Ride 2.50 1 2-1
3 3 I Love Magel 20.00 3.4 6-1
5 5 Charlotte Webley 10.00 5 9-1
7 7 A. A. Sweet Chilli 12.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 The Biggest One 4.50 5.9 11-1
4 4 Outline 1.50 6 11-1
8 8 Lady Bernadette 15.00 7.1 13-1
6 6 Miss Alex 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Edward Madden 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 Hot Love 8.00 2.6 5-1
1 1 Don’t Blame Freddy 15.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Majestic Creed 1.20 3.8 7-1
3 3 Tiempo Perfecto 12.00 3.9 7-1
7 7 Shouldhavebeengone 20.00 5.1 10-1
8 8 Lyfe Is Simple 10.00 5.6 11-1
5 5 Howmuchareyouworth 20.00 5.9 11-1
9 9 Shell Belle 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Santafe Express 6.00 1 2-1
4 4 Say No More 4.00 2.3 4-1
6 6 Angelofthegalaxy 8.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Escandalo 2.00 3.1 6-1
8 8 Catalon 10.00 3.1 6-1
7 7 Page Eleven 20.00 3.5 7-1
5 5 Lucky Breeze 2.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Ruby Dooby Doo 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Singlino 12.00 1 2-1
5 5 Tempestuous 4.50 2.1 4-1
6 6 Johnnypump 15.00 2.5 5-1
3 3 Clear Cut 2.00 2.9 5-1
4 4 Sovereign Change 3.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Horse Be With You 6.00 5.2 10-1
7 7 Musk 10.00 5.3 10-1
2 2 Henrythethird 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Mr Sandman 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Noble Gaston 1.80 1.9 4-1
2 2 Celtic Heart 3.50 2.1 4-1
3 3 A Dangerous Guy 8.00 2.3 4-1
4 4 Restored Order 10.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Irish Exit 5.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Weight of Glory 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Quickflash 6.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 First Navy Admiral 10.00 2.2 4-1
2 2 Midlaner 3.00 2.2 4-1
1 1 Ruffy 15.00 2.9 5-1
3 3 Murricane 12.00 3.4 6-1
6 6 Unimpeachable 8.00 SCRATCH
7 7 Spikezone 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Praetorian Guard 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Sorpreso 8.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Union Park 20.00 1.8 3-1
3 3 Chasing Stardom 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 No Confession 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Adero 2.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 Boy Is It Hot 20.00 4.4 8-1
1 1 Loco Cugino 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Lady Zeta 0 0-1
7 7 Lady Zeta 12.00 1 2-1
2 2 Baci 2.50 2 4-1
3 3 Confirmed Genius 4.00 2.1 4-1
6 6 Tara’s Talent 6.00 2.9 5-1
5 5 Always a Queen 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Sense a Million 8.00 3.6 7-1
1 1 Brushing 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Early Edition 6.00 1 2-1
1 1 Perfect Direction 20.00 1.3 3-1
4 4 Ambitiously Placed 2.00 2.6 5-1
8 8 Cartwheel 3.00 3.3 6-1
7 7 Irie Empress 4.00 5.1 10-1
6 6 Solid Gold Dancer 12.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Risque’s Jewel 10.00 7.1 13-1
5 5 Solemn Oath 8.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Enraged 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Pointer 8.00 1.7 3-1
6 6 Crafty Jack 2.00 1.9 4-1
2 2 Silver Fury 12.00 3.2 6-1
7 7 Big Bad Bud 20.00 7 13-1
10 10 King’s House 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 The Right Path 20.00 SCRATCH
8 8 One Niner Tango 10.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Portal One 3.00 SCRATCH
3 3 Cajun Mandate 12.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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