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Woodbine Horse Racing Picks for Friday, December 9, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Clarendon S.) – Clarendon S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Poulin in O T 1.20 1 2-1
5 5 Paramount Prince 1.80 1.6 3-1
2 2 Armstrong 2.50 2.3 4-1
1 1 Stubborn Streak 12.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Rolling Hills 15.00 5 9-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Grand Gizmo 10.00 1 2-1
3 3 Robitaille 6.00 2.3 4-1
8 8 Trebuchet 3.00 2.5 5-1
1 1 Hushemup 12.00 2.7 5-1
5 5 Dreamingof Jeannie 12.00 4.6 9-1
9 9 He’s Got Soul 8.00 5.5 10-1
12 12 Doc Fishman 20.00 SCRATCH
4 4 Breach of Trust 3.50 7.1 13-1
11 11 Win the Draw 20.00 9.6 18-1
10 10 Beaufort 20.00 10.3 19-1
2 2 Mahogony Wildcat 10.00 11.6 22-1
6 6 Scarborough Bluffs 20.00 12 23-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Shady Well S.) – Shady Well S.

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Fashionably Fab 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Anam Cara 4.50 2.5 5-1
1 1 Witch Hazel 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Speed Trap 3.00 4.9 9-1
6 6 Me and My Shadow 2.00 4.9 9-1
3 3 Rifling 12.00 6 11-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Runninforcover 6.00 1 2-1
14 14 Liars Club 8.00 1.8 3-1
13 13 Glorious Tribute 4.00 2 4-1
8 8 Morning Thoughts 20.00 3.1 6-1
12 12 Baytown Elvis 20.00 4 8-1
3 3 Social Justice 30.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 I Am Resilient 8.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Klimtoglory 10.00 4.8 9-1
2 2 Take Charge Gent 3.00 5 9-1
11 11 Hayroll 15.00 5.1 10-1
9 9 Jmr Pure Sensation 20.00 5.2 10-1
1 1 Perfect Play 30.00 8.1 15-1
5 5 Midnight Ramblin 15.00 10.5 20-1
10 10 It Worked 10.00 10.5 20-1
15 15 More Than a Dance 4.50 SCRATCH
16 16 October Frost 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Eme Claire 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Mo Tough 2.50 2 4-1
1 1 Worry Less 8.00 2.8 5-1
9 9 Telltale 10.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Kantbackoff 4.00 5.6 10-1
5 5 Two Redheads 12.00 5.8 11-1
2 2 Navy Blue Angel 15.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Cymbal Court 6.00 8 15-1
8 8 Born to Boogie 20.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Dolce Sopresa 2.00 1 2-1
1 1 Attabe 2.50 1.1 2-1
4 4 Ghost d’Oro 6.00 1.8 3-1
6 6 Stolen 10.00 2.4 5-1
5 5 Neolithic Nation 20.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Beyond Reason 20.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mythical Storm 15.00 4.6 9-1
7 7 Ondine Lady 12.00 7.3 14-1
9 9 Lady Eva 10.00 8.3 16-1
10 10 Cry Freedom 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Optional Claiming) – Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Half to Reload 5.00 1 2-1
13 13 Fortyfiveseventy 4.00 3.4 7-1
10 10 Renegade Serenade 6.00 3.7 7-1
9 9 Posturing 10.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Flowers ‘n Berries 20.00 4.9 9-1
12 12 Fast’n Sexy 30.00 4.9 9-1
2 2 Guns n’ Rojas 10.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 War’s End Kiss 10.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Sensing Holiday 20.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Jamiesta 3.00 7.2 14-1
1 1 Might Bee Speedy 12.00 SCRATCH
6 6 Big Investment 30.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Smart Sky 30.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
9 9 Hicksy 3.00 1 2-1
5 5 Kid Forester 8.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Chancel 12.00 2.2 4-1
8 8 Prince of Thieves 12.00 3.6 7-1
7 7 Infamous Covert 10.00 5.1 10-1
4 4 Orphan Hallie 15.00 5.6 10-1
11 11 Blue Max 12.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Copinsay 20.00 6 11-1
2 2 Gendragon 20.00 6.6 12-1
13 13 Supremeaction 20.00 8.6 16-1
12 12 No Whammie 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 C C’s Kingdom 4.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Point to the Stars 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Speed Chess 6.00 1 2-1
8 8 Forest Vixen 15.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Jimmy Is a Breeze 2.50 2.2 4-1
3 3 Lady Xi 20.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 T’pring 10.00 4.3 8-1
2 2 Tudor Peak 3.00 5.5 10-1
7 7 Sonet’s Name 3.50 7.1 13-1
11 11 Spirit O’Tipperary 20.00 8.3 16-1
4 4 Murder Hornet 15.00 10.5 20-1
9 9 Dancing for Money 15.00 10.8 20-1
5 5 Squeezemetothemax 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Seattle Causeway 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Strike the Pose 10.00 1.7 3-1
10 10 Sparkling Silver 10.00 1.9 4-1
8 8 Panic Switch 6.00 2.5 5-1
5 5 Souper Sunday 5.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Flat Out Angel 20.00 4 8-1
9 9 Rumours Fly 10.00 7.1 13-1
2 2 Agenda 10.00 7.9 15-1
3 3 Sixtofive 20.00 8.8 17-1
1 1 Secret Sunshine 4.00 8.8 17-1
11 11 Loaded Mistress 15.00 11 21-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
14 14 Analyzer 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 I’m a Chi Too 10.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Big League 8.00 2.8 5-1
15 15 Omega Moon 3.50 3.4 6-1
10 10 High Heat 10.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 D’s Ben 12.00 3.7 7-1
13 13 Duke of Miami 12.00 5.4 10-1
12 12 Executive Giant 6.00 5.4 10-1
9 9 Beyond My Dreams 15.00 5.9 11-1
6 6 Correlate 15.00 6.1 11-1
5 5 Thelonious 30.00 6.4 12-1
2 2 Perlarana 30.00 6.5 12-1
3 3 Kitten’s Boy 20.00 6.6 12-1
11 11 Cowardly Act 30.00 9.1 17-1
8 8 Coleyville 4.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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