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Parx Racing Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 12, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Louie’s Law 5.00 1 2-1
1 1 Emperor’s Cause 2.00 1.5 3-1
7 7 Liam’s Blue Moon 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Deplane 15.00 5.2 10-1
3 3 Sensible Jim 3.00 5.3 10-1
4 4 Stevie T 4.50 6 11-1
6 6 C C Goldrush 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
Arrogante 0 0-1
Prize Debate 0 0-1
4 4 Broadwaycharlyrose 3.00 1 2-1
1 1 Equistar 5.00 2.4 5-1
2 2 Hop On Me 4.00 3.5 7-1
6 6 Arrogante 15.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Tipsy Girl 6.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Prize Debate 12.00 4.7 9-1
3 3 Sandy Q 1.80 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Origo 6.00 1 2-1
2 2 Large 3.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Mr. Briggs 4.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 American Forces 15.00 3.2 6-1
9 9 My Brother Neil 5.00 4.4 8-1
3 3 Lawlessness 15.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 D Black Mamba 6.00 5.7 11-1
6 6 Will Take Control 10.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Commissioner Dave 10.00 9 17-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Filtered Light 4.00 1 2-1
2 2 Thearcherortheprey 5.00 1.6 3-1
1 1 Little Mooji 15.00 3.9 7-1
6 6 Precipice 3.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Tell Me Im Awesome 6.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Candy Flash 12.00 4.1 8-1
3 3 Take It to the Max 8.00 4.2 8-1
4 4 A Little Bit 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
11 11 Panster 15.00 1 2-1
1 1 Manolete 3.00 1.8 3-1
4 4 Keeping the Peace 6.00 3.4 6-1
12 12 Brooks Robinson 15.00 3.8 7-1
7 7 This Ill Defend 3.50 4.8 9-1
3 3 Drena’s Bullet 4.50 4.9 9-1
10 10 Ilovecharlybrown 8.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Classified Info 12.00 5.5 10-1
8 8 Mission Oberon 12.00 6 11-1
9 9 Cape May Style 20.00 8.8 17-1
6 6 Kowboy Karma 20.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Crea’s Bklyn Law 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sweet Sugar Baby 1.60 1 2-1
3 3 Maarty’s Dilemma 12.00 1.4 3-1
7 7 Misquillo 6.00 2 4-1
1 1 La Neblina 5.00 3.9 7-1
5 5 Sprinkle This 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 Far Heart 4.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Milwaukee Bay 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Creative Copy 12.00 1 2-1
4 4 Classy Nancy 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Warrior’s Ransom 3.50 2.9 6-1
1 1 Madeline’s Grogu 5.00 3.4 6-1
3 3 Empress Ariana 8.00 3.7 7-1
6 6 My True Passion 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Magic Miss 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Jet Force 8.00 1 2-1
3 3 This Round’s Mine 6.00 1.9 4-1
6 6 Hightime Valentine 3.50 3 6-1
5 5 Excitable Lady 4.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Vitaemi 6.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Minding Millie 6.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Starship Rogue 10.00 6.1 11-1
1 1 Whyisshesoolucky 4.50 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 9 (Starter Allowance) – Starter Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Nimble Beast 4.00 1 2-1
9 9 Float On 3.00 1.5 3-1
1 1 Jump Shot 8.00 2.1 4-1
8 8 Yes It’s Roo 4.50 3.2 6-1
7 7 Portal One 8.00 3.4 6-1
2 2 Golden Spoke 12.00 4.5 9-1
6 6 Ahsad 12.00 5.1 10-1
3 3 Off the Meds 12.00 5.7 11-1
4 4 Federal Case 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 10 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Centre Court Champ 3.50 1 2-1
4 4 Midtown Rose 6.00 1.6 3-1
2 2 Precious 4.50 2.6 5-1
7 7 Plane Drunk 4.00 2.8 5-1
1 1 Nurturing 6.00 3 6-1
6 6 Jackie the Joker 6.00 5.5 10-1
3 3 Out Dancing 6.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Golden Eib Micrphn 10.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 11 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Leviosa 4.00 1 2-1
1 1 Adhwaa 2.50 3 6-1
7 7 Stormbeam 12.00 4.2 8-1
8 8 Anginetti 5.00 4.3 8-1
5 5 Southern Cents 8.00 4.8 9-1
6 6 What a Beaut 8.00 5.3 10-1
9 9 Kenai Cool 12.00 7.1 13-1
3 3 Penance 6.00 7.5 14-1
2 2 Quiet Please 20.00 9 17-1

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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