Site icon Sports from the Basement

Gulfstream Park Horse Racing Picks for Wednesday, December 14, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Riveting Spirit 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 Midnight Bella 4.50 1.6 3-1
3 3 Smart Spending 8.00 1.6 3-1
4 4 Short Circuit 8.00 2.9 5-1
6 6 Lady Dominance 8.00 4.5 9-1
7 7 Asters d’Oro 12.00 5.3 10-1
1 1 Dakota Dancer 12.00 5.9 11-1
5 5 Classic Lady 2.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Capodecina 2.00 1 2-1
3 3 Gotta Go Gator 6.00 1.3 2-1
1 1 E J’s Way 3.00 3 6-1
7 7 Gemstone Warrior 3.50 3.9 7-1
6 6 Tapit’s Direction 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Major Deal 8.00 4.7 9-1
8 8 Zach and Jill 20.00 6.9 13-1
2 2 Pluma Roja 30.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Old Town Road 4.50 1 2-1
1 1 Ensign Parker 2.00 3.2 6-1
4 4 I’ll Figure It Out 5.00 3.6 7-1
2 2 Exalted Charm 4.00 3.8 7-1
3 3 Small Reason 4.00 5.1 10-1
5 5 Shanghai Warrior 8.00 5.8 11-1
6 6 Lee Ann’s Warrior 20.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Optional Claiming) – Maiden Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Jrue Breeze 4.00 1 2-1
4 4 Song Runner 3.00 1.8 3-1
2 2 Admiral’s Wave 3.50 2 4-1
1 1 Jackson’s Webb 5.00 2.3 4-1
7 7 Fivefive Six Champ 6.00 2.7 5-1
6 6 Bobby’s Candy 4.00 2.9 6-1
3 3 Warp Speed Beast 15.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Starter Optional Claiming) – Starter Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Lamplighter Jack 4.00 1 2-1
3 3 Parkland 6.00 3 6-1
8 8 Onenightstandards 3.00 3.4 6-1
4 4 Attentive 6.00 3.9 7-1
1 1 Charles Chrome 20.00 5.8 11-1
7 7 Epimythium 12.00 5.8 11-1
5 5 Freedom Matters 3.50 SCRATCH
6 6 Venezuelan Triumph 4.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Muguruza 4.00 1 2-1
6 6 Shes a Gift 4.50 1.3 2-1
3 3 Raison the Glass 4.50 2.6 5-1
2 2 Demurely 1.40 3.8 7-1
1 1 Twin Cause 20.00 5.8 11-1
4 4 Uncaptured Faith 12.00 6.5 12-1
5 5 She’s Outta Here 8.00 6.8 13-1
7 7 Blame the Vets 20.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Hot Foot Susie 4.50 1 2-1
6 6 Liana B 3.00 1.1 2-1
1 1 Rita Marga 4.00 2.4 5-1
3 3 She’s Awesome 3.50 2.8 5-1
4 4 Dreamster 8.00 3 6-1
7 7 Mystical Journey 5.00 3.2 6-1
5 5 Midnight in Alaska 12.00 4.5 8-1
8 8 Julianna’s Ruby 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Liam’s Kiss 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Avow 3.00 1.6 3-1
7 7 Freccia d’Argento 12.00 3 6-1
5 5 Send for Me 2.00 3.2 6-1
3 3 Poiema 8.00 3.9 7-1
8 8 Three Witches 8.00 4.2 8-1
2 2 Soul of an Angel 20.00 4.7 9-1
1 1 Hazardous Humor 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Nay Say (IRE) 2.50 1 2-1
1 1 Tweaqued 2.00 1.2 2-1
8 8 Baby’s Dialed In 10.00 1.7 3-1
7 7 Love My Job 6.00 3.6 7-1
6 6 Royally Blue 5.00 3.8 7-1
2 2 Queen Cashmere 6.00 4.4 8-1
4 4 Gam Gam Joann 20.00 6.6 13-1
5 5 Oooh Barracuda 20.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

Exit mobile version