Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cuatro Madres | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Aquimine | 2.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Rare Stripe | 4.50 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | God Help Us | 8.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Poker Play | 6.00 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Resolve Now | 10.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Champs Success | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Propellant | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Pass It Around | 6.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Stapleton Song | 15.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | El Tomate | 3.50 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | O T C Wiz | 5.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Slim Jimmy | 4.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Sazon | 8.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Prince Curlin | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Bayron | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Bluegrass Breeze | 5.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Serendip Ruler | 12.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Sr. Bi Bi | 3.50 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Love My Ride | 6.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Carpe Eros | 4.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Trade Deadline | 10.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Name Rejected | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 4 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Wild Express | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Mendi’s Girl | 3.00 | 1.2 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dashyns Dream | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Rye Munny | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Our Davina | 3.50 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Watch Out Now | 8.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Marebell | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Destron Bay | 15.00 | 7.4 | 14-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Mischief Angel | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Run Dottie Run | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Stella G | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | The Vegas Bomb | 6.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Ruby the Destroyer | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Gospel Sister | 10.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Ruby Ransom | 12.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Donnatheprimadonna | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | When Judy Calls | 20.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Don’t Tell Okie | 20.00 | 7.2 | 14-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Ship of Dreams | 4.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 9 | Secret Pass | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Chive Up | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Juliard Honor | 3.50 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Excetera | 5.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Naughty Natalie | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Afleet Okie | 10.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Sexy Socks | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Acertive Miss | 15.00 | 6.6 | 12-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Icy Cape | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 7 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Legionary | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 6 | 6 | I’m Crenshaw | 3.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Mr Oklahoma City | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Spirit of Spoatie | 3.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Canonize | 10.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Hit One Out | 5.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Country Brave | 4.00 | 5.7 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gist | 10.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Senorita Brooke | 20.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | How Bout Me | 8.00 | 1.3 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Purrfect Moon | 3.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Miz Cali | 15.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Trickski’s Gold | 12.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Cranky Sheila | 20.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Biogenic Babe | 4.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Aspen Wonder | 20.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Cinnamon Face | 4.00 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Lavishing | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Reliant | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Lingering Promise | 10.00 | 1.6 | 3-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Taiga | 8.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Tiffany Twist | 4.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Peek Factor | 8.00 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Palacein | 2.50 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Super Empire | 5.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Tacha Gold | 15.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Constitution Lady | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 10 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Ranger Rex | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 10 | 10 | La Batalla | 5.00 | 2.2 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Papa Bill | 4.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Rachel’s Caper | 6.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Sonic Posse | 10.00 | 6.9 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Grandsonsam | 8.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Zeromyhero | 15.00 | 8.9 | 17-1 |
| 11 | 11 | Pike Bay | 15.00 | 10.3 | 19-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Computation | 20.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Stolen Ghost | 15.00 | 10.4 | 20-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Sharp as Damascus | 20.00 | 11 | 21-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.