Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Hard Candy | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Royal Consort | 6.00 | 1.8 | 3-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Prince Perfecta | 5.00 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Egor Otay | 10.00 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | King of Song | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Eurobeliever | 8.00 | 4.2 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Bourbon Day | 3.50 | 5 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Not a Nyki | 20.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 2 | Unified Love | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Ms. Cajun Queen | 4.50 | 2.1 | 4-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Meet Me | 5.00 | 3.1 | 6-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Custom for Tina | 2.00 | 3.5 | 7-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Gypsyroselee | 15.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Molli Way | 8.00 | 6.8 | 13-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Miss Target | 6.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 3 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tapizars Secret | 0 | 0-1 | ||||
| 8 | 9 | Tapizars Secret | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Luke’s Cajun Star | 2.50 | 2.6 | 5-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Hulen | 8.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | I’m a Special Star | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Nosbor | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Why Joey Why | 4.00 | 5.8 | 11-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Jake the Band Man | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 1A | 6 | Masterly | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Wonder Run | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | It’s a Bird | 5.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 5 | 5 | M and M’s Custom | 8.00 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Joeboy | 4.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 1 | 1 | J C’s in Town | 8.00 | 4 | 8-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Tin Delay | 10.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 9 | 9 | My Book | 4.50 | 5.8 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Gottatakehimto | 3.00 | 6.7 | 13-1 |
| 7 | 7 | General Eisenhower | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Ciroc O Clock | 15.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 5 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Sarah’s Vision | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Cpriority | 5.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Jeffrow | 5.00 | 1.5 | 3-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Janet’s Devil | 10.00 | 1.7 | 3-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Touchdown Joe | 15.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Your Time’s Coming | 6.00 | 2.3 | 4-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Sy Michael | 2.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Charlies Ticket | 12.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 8 | Mexican Wonder Boy | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 3 | 1 | Simply Wicked | 6.00 | 1.3 | 2-1 | |
| 2B | 5 | Prado’s Priority | 2.00 | 1.4 | 3-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Black Sword | 4.50 | 2.4 | 5-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | Prizeless | 3.50 | 2.9 | 5-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Scarlettsblackjack | 2.50 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Slither | 15.00 | 5.2 | 10-1 | |
| 2 | 3 | My Pal Mattie | 2.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | Cool Catomine | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Hot Stove League | 2.50 | 3 | 6-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Honor My Speed | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Grab the Munny | 10.00 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Holy Emperor | 3.50 | 4.6 | 9-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Hot Le Roy | 8.00 | 5 | 9-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Getcha | 12.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Mias Moonbeam | 6.00 | 5.9 | 11-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Party of Fifteen | 20.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance Optional Claiming) – Allowance Optional Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Sweet Temperament | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Kela’s Turn | 8.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Misty Day | 4.50 | 1.3 | 2-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Ima Discreet Lady | 2.50 | 1.8 | 3-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Scarlett O’Hara | 8.00 | 5.1 | 10-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Firstslate | 8.00 | 5.3 | 10-1 |
| 5 | 5 | My Sister Annette | 5.00 | 6.4 | 12-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Aden’s Ransom | 15.00 | 8 | 15-1 |
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 5 | Finnleys Encore | 8.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 9 | 9 | Unherdof | 5.00 | 2.5 | 5-1 |
| 8 | 8 | Fire of Gold | 6.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Dixie Penny | 4.50 | 4.5 | 8-1 |
| 4 | 4 | Storm Breach | 3.00 | 7.3 | 14-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Cold Hearted Wench | 15.00 | 7.8 | 15-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Foursweetnieces | 12.00 | 7.9 | 15-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Stella’s Surprise | 12.00 | 8.6 | 16-1 |
| 10 | 10 | Sassy Sue’s Band | 5.00 | 9 | 17-1 |
| 7 | 7 | American Rebel | 20.00 | 10 | 19-1 |
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.