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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Monday, December 19, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Mangum 1.80 1 2-1
7 7 Benoit 3.50 1.7 3-1
2 2 A Million Stars 4.00 2.6 5-1
3 3 A’debris 4.50 3.2 6-1
6 6 Mor Big Lee 8.00 4.9 9-1
1 1 Graeme’s Deal 15.00 5.5 10-1
4 4 Real Action 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 2 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Chapel of Dreams 2.50 1 2-1
5 5 Lower Cretaceous 6.00 2 4-1
10 10 A Star Is Born Now 5.00 2.6 5-1
6 6 Double Priority 3.50 2.9 5-1
2 2 Proudtown 8.00 3.5 7-1
7 7 Monitor Mills 12.00 5.2 10-1
9 9 C. F. Congress 10.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 War Zong 15.00 6.9 13-1
4 4 Mischevious Robert 15.00 6.9 13-1
1 1 Mista Valentine 20.00 SCRATCH
11 11 Ted Striker 15.00 SCRATCH
12 12 Forged in Steel 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Pennie’s Magic 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Seemyvalentine 4.00 2 4-1
9 9 Cousin Vickie 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Lucky Deal 4.50 3.6 7-1
4 4 Cat Hair Flying 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Zong Wave 8.00 4.5 8-1
2 2 Amelies Dreamer 12.00 5.4 10-1
8 8 Atlantic Band 15.00 6 11-1
5 5 Lot’sa Silver 15.00 6.1 12-1
7 7 Hairtrigger Heart 20.00 7.7 15-1
11 11 Ashley’s Girl 3.50 SCRATCH
12 12 Miss Yellow Meadow 20.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Wildwood Maggie 1.80 1 2-1
3 3 Becca’s Bouquet 4.00 1.2 2-1
4 4 Hamazing Lace 3.00 1.4 3-1
2 2 Fish N Chick 4.50 2.3 4-1
5 5 Cyber Sneaker 8.00 4.8 9-1
1 1 Carlos Loves Tee 12.00 6.4 12-1
6 6 Run Natalie Run 12.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Catinandscatin 3.50 1 2-1
6 6 Midnight Oil 2.50 1.3 2-1
8 8 Shoetrick 4.50 2.5 5-1
2 2 Bella’s Gatsby 6.00 3.8 7-1
5 5 Wheels Turning 5.00 4.1 8-1
4 4 Nephi 8.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Sweet Present 12.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Long Warrior 15.00 8 15-1

RACE NUMBER 6 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 5 Cashew 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Saratoga Karen 6.00 1.8 3-1
8 8 St Maria 4.50 3 6-1
10 10 Time to Sleep 8.00 5 9-1
7 7 My Little Guera 12.00 5.5 10-1
2 2 Miss Miracle Girl 15.00 5.9 11-1
1 1 Cabo Sunset 20.00 7.6 14-1
6 6 Absolutely Mindy 20.00 8.2 15-1
3 3 Awesome Arch 10.00 SCRATCH
9 9 Mighty Happy 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 2 Little Jony 2.50 1 2-1
8 8 Halo Moon 3.50 1.8 3-1
3 3 Golden Remedy 5.00 2.2 4-1
5 5 Half Brother 10.00 4.2 8-1
7 7 In Detail 10.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Oh Sean 12.00 6.2 12-1
6 6 Cool Spirit 4.50 SCRATCH
1 1 Triple Red Aces 6.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1 1 Five O One 3.00 1 2-1
6 6 Silver N Lai 4.00 1.5 3-1
5 5 Conative 4.50 2.4 5-1
2 2 Maxi Moon 8.00 4.3 8-1
4 4 Dealin’ Stelen 5.00 4.4 8-1
7 7 Humphrey 10.00 5.6 10-1
3 3 Corvette Spirit 12.00 6.5 12-1
8 8 Gobler 12.00 7.5 14-1
9 9 Rancho Bargo 15.00 8.7 16-1
11 11 Rifle Man 8.00 SCRATCH
12 12 King Ford 12.00 SCRATCH
10 10 Such 15.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Arms Apriority 2.50 1 2-1
4 4 Serengeti Six 6.00 2.6 5-1
10 10 Talkative 3.50 2.9 5-1
9 9 Cherry Star 8.00 3.1 6-1
3 3 Bell Pepper 8.00 3.4 7-1
5 5 Madame Rue 15.00 5.4 10-1
2 2 Nownowdancer 15.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Time to Close 20.00 7.6 14-1
8 8 Lil Miss Sunshine 12.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Little Z 5.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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