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Delta Downs Horse Racing Picks for Thursday, December 22, 2022

Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.

Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.

Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.

Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.

RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
4 4 Sheza Salty Gal 3.00 1 2-1
7 7 Deal Me a Penny 6.00 3.2 6-1
2 2 Won Day 1.80 3.3 6-1
1 1 Brave City Girl 4.00 3.6 7-1
5 5 Bridled Up 8.00 5.5 10-1
6 6 Arrogant Girl 12.00 5.6 11-1
3 3 Glads Love Cat 10.00 7 13-1

RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
5 6 Entertainment 6.00 1 2-1
4 3 Wild Bert 5.00 4 8-1
3 2 Dreamer’s Disease 2.50 4.4 8-1
7 8 American Code 10.00 6.1 12-1
8 9 Luck of the Draw 10.00 6.2 12-1
6 7 Intimidation 6.00 6.3 12-1
2 1 Magawildtime 12.00 6.5 12-1
1 4 Turn On the Magic 3.50 6.5 12-1
9 10 Adios Carlos 15.00 SCRATCH
1A 5 Jr’s Pacifico 3.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Little Z 3.00 1 2-1
2 2 My Little Mia 2.00 1.9 4-1
3 3 Psalm Prayer 4.50 3.9 7-1
4 4 Who Dat Ginger 6.00 4.1 8-1
1 1 She’sagamechanger 8.00 5.4 10-1
5 5 Blueridgeballerina 8.00 5.4 10-1
6 6 Ms. Miller Time 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
8 8 Mr. B Cause 3.50 1 2-1
1 1 Popeyes Heart 5.00 1.1 2-1
4 4 Alligator Crawl 10.00 2.7 5-1
7 7 Mr. Wimbledon Bay 4.50 2.8 5-1
3 3 Dare to Fail 3.00 4 8-1
6 6 Twirling Chief 6.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Joey’s Lightening 12.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Mr Liberty 8.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
7 7 Cole’s Sensation 4.50 1 2-1
8 8 Silver Chalice 3.50 1.9 4-1
6 6 Dark Matter 6.00 3.3 6-1
4 4 Time to Move 10.00 4.9 9-1
9 9 Double Trap 15.00 6.2 12-1
3 3 Castleberry 10.00 SCRATCH
5 5 Blackheath 15.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Omg Ur Kidding Me 8.00 SCRATCH
2 2 Petey 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
1A 4 Charged Temp 2.50 1 2-1
1 2 A Wish for Madelyn 2.50 2.7 5-1
7 8 Beautiful Ending 12.00 3.7 7-1
8 9 Trinity Hope 8.00 3.8 7-1
2 1 Czar’s Ballerina 4.50 3.9 7-1
5 6 Jersey Hottie 3.50 4.1 8-1
3 3 Mean American 5.00 4.6 9-1
4 5 Emmas Ruler 6.00 4.8 9-1
6 7 Beyond d’Oro 12.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
2 1 Triple L’s Cutter 4.00 1 2-1
1 3 Im Singled Up 3.00 2.8 5-1
8 9 Dancing Trick 15.00 4.5 9-1
4 4 Megans Millions 5.00 4.8 9-1
3 2 Sweet Olive 8.00 5.6 11-1
5 6 Free Will 4.50 SCRATCH
1A 5 She’s My Louie V. 3.00 SCRATCH
9 10 Abbey Cakes 15.00 SCRATCH
7 8 Tensas Bertie 6.00 SCRATCH
6 7 Teche Solution 10.00 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
3 3 Onamargaritaday 3.50 1 2-1
2 2 My Friend Amy 4.00 3.3 6-1
6 6 Teasin’ Tesla 8.00 4.1 8-1
7 7 Speed Queen 8.00 4.7 9-1
5 5 Mission Belle 5.00 4.7 9-1
4 4 Courtly Doc 6.00 SCRATCH
1 1 Majestic Ways 2.50 SCRATCH

RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming

Expected Order of Finish

Prgm Post Name ML Expected Value
6 6 Ide Like Hawaii 6.00 1 2-1
9 9 Big Sessy 5.00 1.1 2-1
10 10 Amazing American 20.00 4.6 9-1
2 2 Grand Production 10.00 6 11-1
3 3 Sassi Aspen 4.00 6 11-1
4 4 Shot On Windy Hill 15.00 6.3 12-1
7 7 Forged in Steel 2.50 6.9 13-1
5 5 Ted Striker 8.00 7 13-1
1 1 Paynted Lover 20.00 9.4 18-1
11 11 Crooks Rebel 3.50 SCRATCH
8 8 Candy Shopper 8.00 SCRATCH

Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.

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