Below is a table for each race of the day. The table is ordered by our algorythmically calculated expected order of finish. Our program takes into account past performances, workout times, speed ratings, recency, and breeder/jockey data amoung other data points.
Using the “Expected” column, the lower number is better. When there is a clear lowest value, we like that horse best to win. In situations where many horses share low numbers, we like those horses equally well. If no horse is under 3, the results are less clear to us and bettors should examine the race more closely.
Using the “Value” column, we present the minimum payout we would recommend betting the particular horse. Look for higher-paying odds than those listed if you like that horse.
Scratches are notated and will be updated as available.
RACE NUMBER 1 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | 4 | Sheza Salty Gal | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 |
| 7 | 7 | Deal Me a Penny | 6.00 | 3.2 | 6-1 |
| 2 | 2 | Won Day | 1.80 | 3.3 | 6-1 |
| 1 | 1 | Brave City Girl | 4.00 | 3.6 | 7-1 |
| 5 | 5 | Bridled Up | 8.00 | 5.5 | 10-1 |
| 6 | 6 | Arrogant Girl | 12.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 |
| 3 | 3 | Glads Love Cat | 10.00 | 7 | 13-1 |
RACE NUMBER 2 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 6 | Entertainment | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 3 | Wild Bert | 5.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Dreamer’s Disease | 2.50 | 4.4 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | American Code | 10.00 | 6.1 | 12-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Luck of the Draw | 10.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Intimidation | 6.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Magawildtime | 12.00 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 1 | 4 | Turn On the Magic | 3.50 | 6.5 | 12-1 | |
| 9 | 10 | Adios Carlos | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | Jr’s Pacifico | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 3 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Little Z | 3.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Little Mia | 2.00 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Psalm Prayer | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Who Dat Ginger | 6.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | She’sagamechanger | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Blueridgeballerina | 8.00 | 5.4 | 10-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Ms. Miller Time | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 4 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | 8 | Mr. B Cause | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Popeyes Heart | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Alligator Crawl | 10.00 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Mr. Wimbledon Bay | 4.50 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Dare to Fail | 3.00 | 4 | 8-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Twirling Chief | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Joey’s Lightening | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Mr Liberty | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 5 (Maiden Claiming) – Maiden Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | 7 | Cole’s Sensation | 4.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 8 | 8 | Silver Chalice | 3.50 | 1.9 | 4-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Dark Matter | 6.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Time to Move | 10.00 | 4.9 | 9-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Double Trap | 15.00 | 6.2 | 12-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Castleberry | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 5 | 5 | Blackheath | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Omg Ur Kidding Me | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 2 | 2 | Petey | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 6 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1A | 4 | Charged Temp | 2.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 2 | A Wish for Madelyn | 2.50 | 2.7 | 5-1 | |
| 7 | 8 | Beautiful Ending | 12.00 | 3.7 | 7-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Trinity Hope | 8.00 | 3.8 | 7-1 | |
| 2 | 1 | Czar’s Ballerina | 4.50 | 3.9 | 7-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Jersey Hottie | 3.50 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Mean American | 5.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 5 | Emmas Ruler | 6.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 6 | 7 | Beyond d’Oro | 12.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 7 (Maiden Special Weight) – Maiden Special Weight
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 1 | Triple L’s Cutter | 4.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 1 | 3 | Im Singled Up | 3.00 | 2.8 | 5-1 | |
| 8 | 9 | Dancing Trick | 15.00 | 4.5 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Megans Millions | 5.00 | 4.8 | 9-1 | |
| 3 | 2 | Sweet Olive | 8.00 | 5.6 | 11-1 | |
| 5 | 6 | Free Will | 4.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1A | 5 | She’s My Louie V. | 3.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 9 | 10 | Abbey Cakes | 15.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 7 | 8 | Tensas Bertie | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 6 | 7 | Teche Solution | 10.00 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 8 (Allowance) – Allowance
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | 3 | Onamargaritaday | 3.50 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | My Friend Amy | 4.00 | 3.3 | 6-1 | |
| 6 | 6 | Teasin’ Tesla | 8.00 | 4.1 | 8-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Speed Queen | 8.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Mission Belle | 5.00 | 4.7 | 9-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Courtly Doc | 6.00 | SCRATCH | ||
| 1 | 1 | Majestic Ways | 2.50 | SCRATCH | ||
RACE NUMBER 9 (Claiming) – Claiming
Expected Order of Finish
| Prgm | Post | Name | ML | Expected | Value | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 6 | Ide Like Hawaii | 6.00 | 1 | 2-1 | |
| 9 | 9 | Big Sessy | 5.00 | 1.1 | 2-1 | |
| 10 | 10 | Amazing American | 20.00 | 4.6 | 9-1 | |
| 2 | 2 | Grand Production | 10.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 3 | 3 | Sassi Aspen | 4.00 | 6 | 11-1 | |
| 4 | 4 | Shot On Windy Hill | 15.00 | 6.3 | 12-1 | |
| 7 | 7 | Forged in Steel | 2.50 | 6.9 | 13-1 | |
| 5 | 5 | Ted Striker | 8.00 | 7 | 13-1 | |
| 1 | 1 | Paynted Lover | 20.00 | 9.4 | 18-1 | |
| 11 | 11 | Crooks Rebel | 3.50 | SCRATCH | ||
| 8 | 8 | Candy Shopper | 8.00 | SCRATCH | ||
Picks are based on historical performance and match-up. Keep up to date on late scratches and other changes – those are not taken into consideration. Sports from the Basement provides no warranty on these suggestions and readers should make picks at their own risk.
